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Sporting Kansas City II vs Colorado Rapids 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Swope Soccer Village, Kansas City, MO
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
2 - 3
12:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Gilmore G.
9'
Reynolds J.
22'
Rinaldi V.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Sporting Kansas City II and Colorado Rapids 2 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colorado Rapids 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sporting Kansas City II
15%
Draws
57%
Colorado Rapids 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colorado Rapids 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Colorado Rapids 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Colorado Rapids 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Sporting Kansas City II Clean Sheet 10%
Colorado Rapids 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Kansas City II Colorado Rapids 2
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 8
Draws 0 0
Losses 23 24
Goals Scored 1.3 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.77 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Sporting Kansas City II vs Colorado Rapids 2
2:3
May 11, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Colorado Rapids 2 vs Sporting Kansas City II
1:3
Mar 16, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Colorado Rapids 2 vs Sporting Kansas City II
2:3
Aug 31, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Sporting Kansas City II vs Colorado Rapids 2
2:3
Jun 1, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Sporting Kansas City II vs Colorado Rapids 2
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Kansas City II Compare

Top Goalscorer Ikoba T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mabie B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Colorado Rapids 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gilmore G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Kansas City II 10 / 100
Colorado Rapids 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Kansas City II Colorado Rapids 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colorado Rapids 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colorado Rapids 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Sporting Kansas City II found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Colorado Rapids 2 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Kansas City II VS Colorado Rapids 2
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Kansas City II

(Home)
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 3
Sporting Kansas City II
14 Sept
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 5
Los Angeles FC 2
06 Sept
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 2
St. Louis City 2
30 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
5 : 1
Sporting Kansas City II
25 Aug
Tacoma Defiance
4 : 0
Sporting Kansas City II
Page 1 of 6

Colorado Rapids 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids 2
2 : 1
North Texas
14 Sept
Austin FC II
1 : 0
Colorado Rapids 2
06 Sept
Minnesota United 2
2 : 0
Colorado Rapids 2
29 Aug
Colorado Rapids 2
2 : 3
Ventura County
24 Aug
Colorado Rapids 2
4 : 1
Real Monarchs
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)