Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro Swope Soccer Village

Sporting Kansas City II

0 - 2

St. Louis City 2

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Young N.

27'

Ault P.

42'

Sub

Ferguson M. In: Francka J.

Out: Ferguson M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Sporting Kansas City II and St. Louis City 2 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Louis City 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Sporting Kansas City II

20%

Draws

38%

St. Louis City 2

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting Kansas City II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and St. Louis City 2 come out ahead of Sporting Kansas City II on wins alone.
42% — that's where the model lands on Sporting Kansas City II taking it.
Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
These two have met 5 times recently and St. Louis City 2 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Sporting Kansas City II Clean Sheet 10%

St. Louis City 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sporting Kansas City II	St. Louis City 2
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	7	17
Draws	0	0
Losses	22	12
Goals Scored	1.63	1.13
Goals Conceded	2.63	2.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.63	2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Sporting Kansas City II vs St. Louis City 2

Possession: 46% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

0:2

Feb 28, 2026 MLS Next Pro

St. Louis City 2 vs Sporting Kansas City II

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

4:0

Aug 24, 2025 MLS Next Pro

St. Louis City 2 vs Sporting Kansas City II

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Mar 23, 2025 MLS Next Pro

St. Louis City 2 vs Sporting Kansas City II

Possession: 56% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Mar 14, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Sporting Kansas City II vs St. Louis City 2

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Kansas City II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

St. Louis City 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ault P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Forcellini C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Kansas City II 40 / 100

St. Louis City 2 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sporting Kansas City II St. Louis City 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Kansas City II's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

St. Louis City 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

St. Louis City 2's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Kansas City II VS St. Louis City 2

1.63 Goals Scored 1.13

2.63 Goals Conceded 2.63

100% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 75%

63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	18	13	5	33:29	36
2	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
3	New England Revolution II	17	11	6	23:20	32
4	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
5	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
6	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
7	Toronto FC II	18	7	11	27:35	22
8	FC Cincinnati 2	17	5	12	16:31	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
2	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
3	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
4	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
5	Chicago Fire II	17	9	8	27:24	27
6	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
7	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
8	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
5	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
6	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
4	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
5	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	18	13	5	33:29	36
2	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
3	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
4	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
5	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
6	New England Revolution II	17	11	6	23:20	32
7	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
8	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
9	Chicago Fire II	17	9	8	27:24	27
10	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
11	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
12	Toronto FC II	18	7	11	27:35	22
13	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
14	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
15	FC Cincinnati 2	17	5	12	16:31	14
16	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
4	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
5	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
6	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
7	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
8	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
9	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
10	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
11	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12