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Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls

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AI Match Summary

Sporting Kansas City play New York Red Bulls in the MLS. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sporting Kansas City averaged 0.88 goals scored and 2.88 conceded. New York Red Bulls averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. In past meetings, Sporting Kansas City won 1, New York Red Bulls won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Sporting Kansas City and 2.31 for New York Red Bulls. This points to a New York Red Bulls double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sporting Kansas City
39%
Draws
30%
New York Red Bulls
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • New York Red Bulls has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sporting Kansas City.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sporting Kansas City Clean Sheet 10%
New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Kansas City New York Red Bulls
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls
1:2
Sep 7, 2024 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs Sporting Kansas City
1:1
Jul 4, 2022 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls
0:1
Apr 18, 2021 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs Sporting Kansas City
1:2
Feb 22, 2020 Visit Tucson Sun Cup
New York Red Bulls vs Sporting Kansas City
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Kansas City Compare

Top Goalscorer Harris C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

New York Red Bulls Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruvalcaba J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Kansas City 30 / 100
New York Red Bulls 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Kansas City New York Red Bulls

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NYR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Kansas City scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

New York Red Bulls let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Sporting Kansas City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

New York Red Bulls lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Kansas City VS New York Red Bulls
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307