Sport Picks

USA

MLS Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City, KS

Sporting Kansas City

1 - 2

New York Red Bulls

Our Tip

Match Events

Ruvalcaba J.

Assist: Berggren G.

19'

Sub

Cowell C. In: Mosquera R.

Out: Cowell C.

45'

Marshall-Rutty J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

New York Red Bulls in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored New York Red Bulls.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Sporting Kansas City

33%

Draws

27%

New York Red Bulls

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sporting Kansas City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to New York Red Bulls lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Kansas City.
40% — that's where the model lands on Sporting Kansas City taking it.
Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Sporting Kansas City Clean Sheet 10%

New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sporting Kansas City	New York Red Bulls
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	7	10
Draws	3	4
Losses	19	14
Goals Scored	1.38	1.63
Goals Conceded	2.5	2.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 MLS

Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls

1:2

Sep 7, 2024 MLS

New York Red Bulls vs Sporting Kansas City

1:1

Jul 4, 2022 MLS

Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls

0:1

Apr 18, 2021 MLS

New York Red Bulls vs Sporting Kansas City

1:2

Feb 22, 2020 Visit Tucson Sun Cup

New York Red Bulls vs Sporting Kansas City

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Kansas City Compare

Top Goalscorer Harris C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

New York Red Bulls Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruvalcaba J.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Kansas City 38 / 100

New York Red Bulls 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sporting Kansas City New York Red Bulls

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York Red Bulls let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Sporting Kansas City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sporting Kansas City's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Kansas City VS New York Red Bulls

1.38 Goals Scored 1.63

2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38

100% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Kansas City

(Home)

23 Jul

Sporting Kansas City

2 : 1

Minnesota United

17 Jul

St. Louis City

3 : 2

Sporting Kansas City

24 May

Sporting Kansas City

1 : 2

New York Red Bulls

17 May

Austin FC

1 : 2

Sporting Kansas City

14 May

Sporting Kansas City

3 : 1

Los Angeles Galaxy

Page 1 of 6

New York Red Bulls

(Away)

22 Jul

Philadelphia Union

3 : 1

New York Red Bulls

24 May

Sporting Kansas City

1 : 2

New York Red Bulls

16 May

New York Red Bulls

1 : 1

New York City

13 May

New York Red Bulls

3 : 2

Columbus Crew

09 May

Chicago Fire

1 : 3

New York Red Bulls

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	15	10	2	3	37:16	32
2	San Jose Earthquakes	16	10	2	4	34:19	32
3	Los Angeles FC	17	9	3	5	30:18	30
4	Real Salt Lake	15	8	2	5	27:22	26
5	FC Dallas	16	7	5	4	32:24	26
6	Seattle Sounders	15	7	3	5	19:19	24
7	Houston Dynamo	15	7	2	6	20:24	23
8	St. Louis City	16	6	4	6	22:23	22
9	Minnesota United	16	6	4	6	19:24	22
10	Los Angeles Galaxy	17	5	5	7	23:28	20
11	Colorado Rapids	16	6	1	9	26:24	19
12	Portland Timbers	16	5	3	8	29:31	18
13	San Diego FC	16	4	5	7	30:28	17
14	Austin FC	16	4	5	7	22:32	17
15	Sporting Kansas City	16	4	2	10	18:40	14

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League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	16	12	3	1	33:11	39
2	Inter Miami	16	10	4	2	42:30	34
3	Chicago Fire	15	8	2	5	29:19	26
4	New England Revolution	15	8	2	5	22:18	26
5	FC Cincinnati	16	6	5	5	40:40	23
6	New York City	16	6	4	6	27:22	22
7	Charlotte FC	16	6	4	6	26:25	22
8	New York Red Bulls	16	6	4	6	26:35	22
9	DC United	16	4	7	5	22:26	19
10	Orlando City	16	5	2	9	27:44	17
11	Columbus Crew	16	4	4	8	22:25	16
12	Toronto FC	16	3	7	6	22:29	16
13	CF Montreal	16	4	3	9	22:32	15
14	Atlanta United	16	3	3	10	16:26	12
15	Philadelphia Union	16	2	4	10	21:31	10

Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)