Sport Picks
Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City, KS 
AI Match Summary
Sporting Kansas City host Austin FC in the MLS. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Sporting Kansas City have averaged 1.17 scored and 2.52 conceded recently, against Austin FC's 1.42 scored and 1.71 conceded. Past meetings favor Sporting Kansas City slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.75 - 1.94) back Austin FC to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Austin FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Kansas City | Austin FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 20 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.52 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Austin FC has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Attacking prowess: Sporting Kansas City scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Austin FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Kansas City
(Home)Austin FC
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 63:31 | 55 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 56:41 | 51 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 55:47 | 51 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 52:42 | 48 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:39 | 47 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 48:33 | 46 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 39:37 | 42 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 43:52 | 40 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 41:41 | 39 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 45:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 51:56 | 34 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 53:56 | 34 |
| 13 | Minnesota United | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 47:55 | 34 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 38:56 | 31 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 36:75 | 22 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 64:23 | 67 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 73:51 | 55 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 49:41 | 52 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 53:45 | 47 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 61:48 | 46 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 58:70 | 41 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 39:56 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 60:70 | 36 |
| 10 | Toronto FC | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 46:55 | 36 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 46:47 | 35 |
| 12 | New York City | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43:41 | 34 |
| 13 | DC United | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 37:51 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 37:51 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 36:60 | 25 |
