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Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City, KS
Sporting Kansas City Logo

Sporting Kansas City

0 - 2
FT
Houston Dynamo Logo

Houston Dynamo

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Match Events

11'
Johnsen L.
45'
Johnsen L.
45'
Johnsen L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Sporting Kansas City and Houston Dynamo finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Houston Dynamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sporting Kansas City
30%
Draws
29%
Houston Dynamo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting Kansas City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting Kansas City haven't matched Houston Dynamo's recent run of results.
  • Sporting Kansas City are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sporting Kansas City Clean Sheet 15%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Kansas City Houston Dynamo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.46
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City
0:2
Aug 2, 2026 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo
0:0
Jun 1, 2025 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City
1:3
May 12, 2024 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Kansas City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Houston Dynamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bouzat A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Kansas City 48 / 100
Houston Dynamo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Kansas City Houston Dynamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Kansas City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Kansas City's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sporting Kansas City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Houston Dynamo conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Kansas City VS Houston Dynamo
2 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Kansas City

(Home)
11 Oct
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 3
Portland Timbers
02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1
Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
20 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 4
Philadelphia Union
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1
Los Angeles FC
Page 1 of 6

Houston Dynamo

(Away)
11 Oct
Minnesota United
2 : 2
Houston Dynamo
27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2
FC Cincinnati
13 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)