Sport Picks
Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
MLS Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City, KS 
Match Events
5'
5'
Andre Luiz
Assist: Johnsen L.
10'
10'
Andre Luiz
Assist: Harris C.
16'
16'
Meyer W.
Assist: Karic E.
AI Match Summary
Philadelphia Union in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Philadelphia Union.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
15%
61%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philadelphia Union
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Philadelphia Union have won more games recently than Sporting Kansas City.
- Model gives Philadelphia Union a 61% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sporting Kansas City Clean Sheet 10%
Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Kansas City | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.31 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union
3:4
Mar 3, 2024 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union
1:1
Apr 1, 2023 MLS
Philadelphia Union vs Sporting Kansas City
0:0
Jul 31, 2020 MLS is Back
Philadelphia Union vs Sporting Kansas City
3:1
May 16, 2020 MLS
Philadelphia Union vs Sporting Kansas City
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Kansas City Compare
Top Goalscorer Andre Luiz
2 Goals Assists Leader Meyer W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Philadelphia Union Compare
Top Goalscorer Damiani B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sullivan C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Kansas City 10 / 100
Philadelphia Union 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Kansas City Philadelphia Union
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Philadelphia Union Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Philadelphia Union's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Sporting Kansas City scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Sporting Kansas City stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Kansas City VS Philadelphia Union
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Kansas City
(Home) 27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2 Sporting Kansas City
20 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 4 Philadelphia Union
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1 Los Angeles FC
06 Sept
FC Dallas
4 : 3 Sporting Kansas City
30 Aug
Sporting Kansas City
0 : 3 Vancouver Whitecaps
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 4 Philadelphia Union
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1 Los Angeles FC
30 Aug
Sporting Kansas City
0 : 3 Vancouver Whitecaps
20 Aug
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 1 St. Louis City
02 Aug
Sporting Kansas City
0 : 2 Houston Dynamo
Page 1 of 3
Philadelphia Union
(Away) 26 Sept
Philadelphia Union
4 : 2 Orlando City
20 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 4 Philadelphia Union
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5 Philadelphia Union
09 Sept
Philadelphia Union
5 : 0 FC Cincinnati
05 Sept
Philadelphia Union
2 : 0 CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 4 Philadelphia Union
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5 Philadelphia Union
29 Aug
New York Red Bulls
1 : 3 Philadelphia Union
23 Aug
Austin FC
1 : 1 Philadelphia Union
16 Aug
New York City
2 : 3 Philadelphia Union
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 59:26 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 41 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 9 | Seattle Sounders | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:34 | 35 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 31:63 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 60 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:36 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64:50 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46:38 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34:51 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 41:36 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55:64 | 33 |
| 11 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34:42 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 39:51 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 34:54 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
