Sport Picks
Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes
USA
MLS Children's Mercy Park 
AI Match Summary
Sporting Kansas City play San Jose Earthquakes in the MLS. San Jose Earthquakes are favorites here. Recently, Sporting Kansas City averaged 0.88 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. San Jose Earthquakes averaged 2.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Sporting Kansas City won 2, San Jose Earthquakes won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Sporting Kansas City and 2.56 for San Jose Earthquakes. This points to a San Jose Earthquakes double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- San Jose Earthquakes has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sporting Kansas City.
- Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Sporting Kansas City.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Kansas City | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 17 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 19 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 2.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.38 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Kansas City Compare
San Jose Earthquakes Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting Kansas City scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
San Jose Earthquakes let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
Sporting Kansas City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
San Jose Earthquakes lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34:12 | 32 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34:15 | 32 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:19 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30:22 | 25 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:17 | 24 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17:11 | 24 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19:23 | 22 |
| 8 | Minnesota United | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18:22 | 22 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:22 | 20 |
| 10 | San Diego FC | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 30:27 | 17 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 25:24 | 16 |
| 12 | St. Louis City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | 16 |
| 13 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:28 | 14 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19:31 | 14 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:36 | 11 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 33 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 19 |
| 9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | 16 |
| 11 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:31 | 14 |
| 12 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | 14 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | 7 |