Sport Picks
Sporting Lagos vs Madiba
Nigeria
NNL 2024/2025 Mobolaji Johnson Arena, Lagos 
AI Match Summary
The NNL 2024/2025 game between Sporting Lagos and Madiba finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Lagos.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Lagos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sporting Lagos come out ahead of Madiba on wins alone.
- Sporting Lagos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular NNL 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sporting Lagos Clean Sheet 68%
Madiba Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Lagos | Madiba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2025 NNL
Sporting Lagos vs Madiba
2:1
Jan 24, 2025 NNL
Madiba vs Sporting Lagos
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Lagos 95 / 100
Madiba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Lagos Madiba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting Lagos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting Lagos scored in 77% of their last 31 games.
Madiba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Sporting Lagos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Lagos VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Lagos
(Home) 08 May
Inter Lagos
1 : 0 Sporting Lagos
06 May
Sporting Lagos
4 : 0 Doma United
04 May
Sporting Lagos
1 : 0 Ranchers Bees
16 Apr
Osun United
0 : 1 Sporting Lagos
08 Apr
Sporting Lagos
1 : 0 Rovers FC
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06 May
Sporting Lagos
4 : 0 Doma United
04 May
Sporting Lagos
1 : 0 Ranchers Bees
08 Apr
Sporting Lagos
1 : 0 Rovers FC
04 Apr
Sporting Lagos
5 : 0 First Bank
08 Mar
Sporting Lagos
2 : 1 Abakaliki
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Madiba
(Away) 14 Jun
Madiba
1 : 4 Abakaliki
31 May
ABS
3 : 1 Madiba
23 May
Madiba
2 : 1 Godswill Akpabio
18 May
Osun United
1 : 0 Madiba
12 May
Madiba
3 : 2 Rovers FC
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31 May
ABS
3 : 1 Madiba
18 May
Osun United
1 : 0 Madiba
04 May
Sporting Lagos
2 : 1 Madiba
18 Apr
First Bank
2 : 2 Madiba
08 Apr
Kun Khalifa
3 : 1 Madiba
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warri Wolves | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 27:11 | 39 |
| 2 | Crown FC | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 17:13 | 36 |
| 3 | Inter Lagos | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 24:11 | 30 |
| 4 | Smart City | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 20:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Beyond Limits FC | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 30:23 | 24 |
| 6 | Abia Comets | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 17:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Edel FC | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 8 | Dakkada FC | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 22:27 | 18 |
| 9 | Ijele | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 17:33 | 15 |
| 10 | Igbajo | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 7:31 | 9 |
| 11 | 1472 FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kun Khalifa | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 21:13 | 37 |
| 2 | Osun United | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 21:13 | 36 |
| 3 | Sporting Lagos | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 27:16 | 32 |
| 4 | Rovers FC | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 23:21 | 31 |
| 5 | Solution | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 6 | ABS | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 18:23 | 26 |
| 7 | Godswill Akpabio | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 22:19 | 24 |
| 8 | First Bank | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 17:26 | 24 |
| 9 | Abakaliki | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 17:20 | 23 |
| 10 | Madiba | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 25:33 | 23 |
| 11 | Gateway United | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 21:31 | 22 |
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wikki Tourists | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Barau | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:10 | 19 |
| 3 | Gombe | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 13:11 | 18 |
| 4 | Sokoto United | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 8:9 | 16 |
| 5 | Mighty Jets | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9:12 | 15 |
| 6 | Jigawa Golden Stars | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11:16 | 14 |
| 7 | Zamfara United | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:18 | 14 |
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yobe Stars | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 2 | Doma United | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 19 |
| 3 | Kebbi | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 4 | Basira | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | 16 |
| 5 | Sporting Supreme | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 13:17 | 16 |
| 6 | Kada Warriors | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:16 | 15 |
| 7 | Adamawa Utd | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 15:18 | 13 |
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
