Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Liesti vs Inainte Modelu

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 4 game between Sporting Liesti and Inainte Modelu finished 5-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Liesti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sporting Liesti
15%
Draws
45%
Inainte Modelu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inainte Modelu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting Liesti come out ahead of Inainte Modelu on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sporting Liesti Clean Sheet 10%
Inainte Modelu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Liesti Inainte Modelu
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 19 13
Draws 2 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.35 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Liesti 34 / 100
Inainte Modelu 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Liesti Inainte Modelu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inainte Modelu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Liesti scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Inainte Modelu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Sporting Liesti has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Inainte Modelu registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Liesti VS Inainte Modelu
2.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Liesti

(Home)
12 Sept
Agigea
2 : 0
Sporting Liesti
05 Sept
Sporting Liesti
6 : 0
Portul Constanta
02 Sept
Sporting Liesti
1 : 4
Dinamo Bucuresti
29 Aug
Sporting Liesti
2 : 1
Unirea Branistea
19 Aug
ACS USV Iasi
1 : 2
Sporting Liesti
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Inainte Modelu

(Away)
11 Sept
Inainte Modelu
1 : 0
Gloria Baneasa
05 Sept
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
1 : 4
Inainte Modelu
28 Aug
Inainte Modelu
1 : 1
Axiopolis Cernavoda
05 Aug
Calarasi
2 : 0
Inainte Modelu
29 Jul
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
0 : 6
Inainte Modelu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Axiopolis Cernavoda 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Agigea 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
4 Inainte Modelu 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
5 Sporting Liesti 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
6 Progresul Fundulea 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
7 Unirea Branistea 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
8 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 3 1 0 2 7:9 3
9 Portul Constanta 3 1 0 2 6:9 3
10 Gloria Baneasa 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
11 Calarasi 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
12 Otelul 2 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)