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Sporting Liesti vs Paulesti Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 2 2025/2026
Sporting Liesti Logo

Sporting Liesti

2 - 1
FT
Paulesti Logo

Paulesti

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 2 2025/2026 game between Sporting Liesti and Paulesti finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Liesti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Sporting Liesti
20%
Draws
15%
Paulesti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting Liesti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting Liesti come out ahead of Paulesti on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sporting Liesti a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sporting Liesti Clean Sheet 16%
Paulesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Liesti Paulesti
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 2 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Sporting Liesti vs Paulesti
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Paulesti vs Sporting Liesti
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Liesti 84 / 100
Paulesti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Liesti Paulesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Liesti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Liesti found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Paulesti has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Sporting Liesti has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Liesti VS Paulesti
3 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Liesti

(Home)
26 Sept
Sporting Liesti
6 : 1
Otelul 2
23 Sept
Calarasi
3 : 2
Sporting Liesti
19 Sept
Sporting Liesti
5 : 4
Inainte Modelu
12 Sept
Agigea
2 : 0
Sporting Liesti
05 Sept
Sporting Liesti
6 : 0
Portul Constanta
Page 1 of 7

Paulesti

(Away)
25 Sept
Viitorul Corbeanca
1 : 1
Paulesti
22 Sept
Paulesti
0 : 2
Tunari
18 Sept
Flacara Moreni
1 : 1
Paulesti
11 Sept
Urban Titu
3 : 0
Paulesti
05 Sept
Paulesti
0 : 3
Petrolul Berca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Liesti 22 18 1 3 64:26 55
2 Targu Secuiesc 22 15 4 3 57:24 49
3 Sepsi 2 22 13 3 6 55:31 42
4 Blejoi 22 11 5 6 54:26 38
5 Unirea Branistea 22 12 3 7 51:38 36
6 Paulesti 22 9 5 8 34:26 32
7 CSO Plopeni 22 9 4 9 34:32 31
8 Victoria Traian 22 10 1 11 45:51 31
9 Petrolul 2 22 8 0 14 40:41 24
10 Braila 22 5 2 15 29:68 17
11 CSM Ramnicu Sarat 22 4 2 16 33:72 14
12 Otelul 2 22 2 2 18 26:87 8
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)