Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Lokeren vs Houtvenne

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Van Aerschot S.
32' Event
Van Aerschot S.
56' Event
Van Aerschot S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-0. The second leg ended 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sporting Lokeren
15%
Draws
54%
Houtvenne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Houtvenne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting Lokeren come out ahead of Houtvenne on wins alone.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Sporting Lokeren have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sporting Lokeren, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sporting Lokeren Clean Sheet 20%
Houtvenne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Lokeren Houtvenne
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.3 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Belgian Cup
Sporting Lokeren vs Houtvenne
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Lokeren Compare

Top Goalscorer Van Aerschot S.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Duku M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

Houtvenne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Lokeren 31 / 100
Houtvenne 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Lokeren Houtvenne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Lokeren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Lokeren scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Houtvenne conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sporting Lokeren stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Lokeren VS Houtvenne
1.63 Goals Scored 2.14
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.29
63% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Lokeren

(Home)
26 Sept
Sporting Lokeren
5 : 0
Houtvenne
20 Sept
Sporting Lokeren
1 : 1
Virton
12 Sept
Anderlecht U23
2 : 6
Sporting Lokeren
06 Sept
Francs Borains
3 : 0
Sporting Lokeren
28 Aug
Sporting Lokeren
2 : 4
Genk U23
Page 1 of 6

Houtvenne

(Away)
26 Sept
Sporting Lokeren
5 : 0
Houtvenne
20 Sept
Zelzate
0 : 3
Houtvenne
11 Sept
Houtvenne
5 : 0
Dessel
06 Sept
Belisia Bilzen
3 : 4
Houtvenne
29 Aug
Houtvenne
3 : 1
Leuven B
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Diksmuide Oostende 0
Lommel SK 2
Westerlo -
TBD -
SK Roeselare 1
Patro Eisden 2
Crossing Schaerbeek 3
Beerschot VA 5
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Heist 3
Kortrijk 2
TBD -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
TBD -
Knokke 2
RFC Seraing 5
Club Brugge -
TBD -
Houtvenne 0
Sporting Lokeren 5
KV Mechelen -
TBD -
Merelbeke 0
Eupen 1
Union Rochefortoise 3
Lierse SK 2
TBD -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
TBD -
OC Charleroi 1
Habay La Neuve 2
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
Nijlen 3
Boom 1
Oostkamp 0
Virton 3
TBD -
Genk -
Londerzeel 0
Renaissance Mons 4
TBD -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
TBD -
RFC Liege 4
Wellen 1
St. Liege -
TBD -
Hoogstraten 0
Dender 6
Leuven -
TBD -
Diegem 0
Francs Borains 1
Mandel United 1
Hasselt 3
TBD -
Cercle Brugge -
1/16-finals
St. Truiden -
Lommel SK -
Westerlo -
Patro Eisden -
Beerschot VA -
Anderlecht -
Heist -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
RFC Seraing -
Club Brugge -
Sporting Lokeren -
KV Mechelen -
Eupen -
Union Rochefortoise -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
Habay La Neuve -
Royale Union SG -
Nijlen -
Virton -
Genk -
Renaissance Mons -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
RFC Liege -
St. Liege -
Dender -
Leuven -
Francs Borains -
Hasselt -
Cercle Brugge -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -