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Sporting Macau vs Policia Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League 2021 Centro Desportivo Olímpico - Estádio, Taipa
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Almeida H.
27' Event
Man L. K.
35' Event
Hong I. K.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2021 game between Sporting Macau and Policia finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Macau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sporting Macau
20%
Draws
51%
Policia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Policia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Policia come out ahead of Sporting Macau on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Policia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Sporting Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Policia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Macau Policia
Matches Played 33 25
Wins 5 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 0.94 1.04
Goals Conceded 4.12 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2022 Elite League
Policia vs Sporting Macau
0:0
Jun 20, 2021 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Policia
3:2
Mar 19, 2021 Elite League
Policia vs Sporting Macau
3:0
Nov 28, 2020 Elite League
Policia vs Sporting Macau
1:0
Jun 20, 2019 Elite League
Policia vs Sporting Macau
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Almeida H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hong I. K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Policia Compare

Top Goalscorer Man L. K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shek W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Macau 10 / 100
Policia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Macau Policia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Policia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Policia let in goals in 76% of their last 25 matches.

Sporting Macau found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (33 games).

Recent resilience: Sporting Macau stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Macau VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
4.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Macau

(Home)
03 Aug
Sporting Macau
1 : 3
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Gala
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Sporting Macau
0 : 7
Chiba
28 Jun
Hang Sai
9 : 0
Sporting Macau
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Policia

(Away)
13 Nov
Policia
0 : 3
Lun Lok
31 Jul
Policia
2 : 2
Hang Sai
24 Jul
Policia
1 : 0
Cheng Fung
17 Jul
Monte Carlo
0 : 2
Policia
11 Jul
Policia
0 : 3
Benfica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 18 18 0 0 115:4 54
2 Benfica 18 15 0 3 91:15 45
3 Tak Chun Ka I 18 11 2 5 29:30 35
4 Cheng Fung 18 10 0 8 40:44 30
5 Lun Lok 18 6 3 9 26:55 21
6 Sporting Macau 18 6 2 10 33:45 20
7 Policia 18 4 5 9 17:33 17
8 Casa de Portugal 18 4 4 10 22:68 16
9 Monte Carlo 18 2 6 10 14:46 12
10 Hang Sai 18 2 2 14 12:59 8
Promotion - AFC Cup 2022 (Qualification)