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Sporting Macau vs Tak Chun Ka I - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Macao Macao

Elite League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Wei Z.
24' Event
Fati M.
43' Event
Lacerda de Jesus A.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2024 game between Sporting Macau and Tak Chun Ka I finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Macau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sporting Macau
15%
Draws
0%
Tak Chun Ka I
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Macau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sporting Macau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sporting Macau a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Elite League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sporting Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Macau Tak Chun Ka I
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 4 1
Losses 25 25
Goals Scored 1 1.23
Goals Conceded 4.12 4.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2024 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Sporting Macau
2:3
Jun 29, 2024 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Tak Chun Ka I
4:1
Apr 21, 2024 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Sporting Macau
4:2
May 13, 2023 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Tak Chun Ka I
5:2
Mar 10, 2023 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Sporting Macau
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Lacerda de Jesus A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fati M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Tak Chun Ka I Compare

Top Goalscorer Wei Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Macau 83 / 100
Tak Chun Ka I 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Macau Tak Chun Ka I

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Macau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tak Chun Ka I has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Difficult form: Tak Chun Ka I registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sporting Macau's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Macau VS Tak Chun Ka I
0.75 Goals Scored 1
5.13 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Macau

(Home)
03 Aug
Sporting Macau
1 : 3
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Gala
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Sporting Macau
0 : 7
Chiba
28 Jun
Hang Sai
9 : 0
Sporting Macau
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Tak Chun Ka I

(Away)
28 Jul
Tak Chun Ka I
2 : 3
Sporting Macau
19 Jul
University of Macau
4 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
14 Jul
Gala
10 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
29 Jun
Sporting Macau
4 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
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