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Sporting Praia vs CD Benfica

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Campeonato Nacional 2011
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2011 game between Sporting Praia and CD Benfica finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Praia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sporting Praia
15%
Draws
21%
CD Benfica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Praia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • CD Benfica haven't matched Sporting Praia's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Sporting Praia taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Sporting Praia Clean Sheet 20%
CD Benfica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Praia CD Benfica
Matches Played 32 11
Wins 19 3
Draws 8 2
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.38 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2011 Campeonato Nacional
Sporting Praia vs CD Benfica
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Praia 85 / 100
CD Benfica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Praia CD Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Praia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sporting Praia scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: CD Benfica conceded in 73% of 11 recent games.

Sporting Praia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CD Benfica lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Praia VS CD Benfica
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 83%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Praia

(Home)
19 Jun
Sporting Praia
1 : 4
Rosariense
11 Jun
Ultramarina
0 : 2
Sporting Praia
04 Jun
Sporting Praia
2 : 0
GD Varandinha
28 May
GD Varandinha
2 : 0
Sporting Praia
21 May
Sporting Praia
4 : 2
Ultramarina
Page 1 of 7

CD Benfica

(Away)
14 Jun
CD Benfica
1 : 3
Santo Crucifixo
06 Jun
Onze Unidos
4 : 0
CD Benfica
31 May
CD Benfica
0 : 4
SC Africa Show
23 May
Academica Porto Novo
4 : 0
CD Benfica
10 May
CD Benfica
2 : 0
Scorpion Vermelho
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 5 4 1 0 13:1 13
2 Sporting Praia 5 4 0 1 7:2 12
3 CD Benfica 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
4 Vulcanico 4 1 1 2 3:9 4
5 Ultramarina 5 1 0 4 6:11 3
6 Sport Sal-Rei 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica Porto Novo 4 2 2 0 11:4 8
2 Academico do Sal 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Boavista 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
4 Onze Unidos 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
5 Rosariense 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2011 (Play Offs)