Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Praia vs Rosariense

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rosariense in this Campeonato Nacional 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rosariense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sporting Praia
20%
Draws
38%
Rosariense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting Praia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sporting Praia lately — more wins on the board than Rosariense.
  • Model gives Sporting Praia a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sporting Praia Clean Sheet 14%
Rosariense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Praia Rosariense
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 16 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.3 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Sporting Praia vs Rosariense
1:4
May 14, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Rosariense vs Sporting Praia
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Praia 39 / 100
Rosariense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Praia Rosariense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Praia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Sporting Praia scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Rosariense has conceded goals in 72% of their last 18 outings.

Sporting Praia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Praia VS Rosariense
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Praia

(Home)
19 Jun
Sporting Praia
1 : 4
Rosariense
11 Jun
Ultramarina
0 : 2
Sporting Praia
04 Jun
Sporting Praia
2 : 0
GD Varandinha
28 May
GD Varandinha
2 : 0
Sporting Praia
21 May
Sporting Praia
4 : 2
Ultramarina
Page 1 of 6

Rosariense

(Away)
15 Jun
Rosariense
1 : 0
Academico do Sal
09 Jun
Academica do Fogo
3 : 1
Rosariense
26 May
Rosariense
1 : 1
Juventude
18 May
Juventude
1 : 2
Rosariense
12 May
Rosariense
0 : 0
Academica do Fogo
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rosariense 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
2 Sporting Praia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 GD Varandinha 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
4 Ultramarina 6 1 0 5 3:11 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeira 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
2 Academica Boavista 6 2 2 2 2:5 8
3 Morabeza 6 1 3 2 5:4 6
4 Academica Porto Novo 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica do Mindelo 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
2 Botafogo 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
3 Mindelense 6 2 1 3 3:6 7
4 Barreirense 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams