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Sporting Praia vs Scorpion Vermelho

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting Praia play Scorpion Vermelho in the Campeonato Nacional 2010. Sporting Praia are favorites here. Recently, Sporting Praia averaged 1.58 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Scorpion Vermelho averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Sporting Praia won 2, Scorpion Vermelho won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 9, 2013 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for Sporting Praia and 1.23 for Scorpion Vermelho. This points to a Sporting Praia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Sporting Praia
27%
Draws
14%
Scorpion Vermelho
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Sporting Praia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Sporting Praia picked up more points recently compared to Scorpion Vermelho.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 1.23 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Sporting Praia Clean Sheet 20%
Scorpion Vermelho Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Praia Scorpion Vermelho
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 22 4
Draws 9 7
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.58 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2013 Campeonato Nacional
Sporting Praia vs Scorpion Vermelho
3:1
Jun 5, 2010 Campeonato Nacional
Sporting Praia vs Scorpion Vermelho
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Praia 57 / 100
Scorpion Vermelho 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Praia Scorpion Vermelho

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Praia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Sporting Praia & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sporting Praia attacking → ← attacking Scorpion Vermelho

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Praia scored in 86% of their last 36 games.

Scorpion Vermelho let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Sporting Praia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scorpion Vermelho lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

75 Points in last 5 19
1.71 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.57 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Batuque FC52309:39
2Boavista522115:88
3Maritimo52127:97
4Morabeza51315:46
5Botafogo51228:135
6Solpontense FC51137:144
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Academico do Sal541012:413
2Sporting Praia532016:611
3Scorpion Vermelho52037:86
4Sporting Boavista51224:85
5Clube Desportivo Ribeira Brava41126:124
6Barreirense40045:120