Sport Picks
Match Events
46'
46'
Dama E.
52'
52'
Dama E.
74'
74'
Cavaciocchi L.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 game between Sporting Trestina and Figline finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Figline.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Figline
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Figline come out ahead of Sporting Trestina on wins alone.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Figline taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Figline here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 24%
Figline Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Figline |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Figline
0:5
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Figline vs Sporting Trestina
1:0
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Figline
1:2
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Figline vs Sporting Trestina
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Trestina Compare
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Figline Compare
Top Goalscorer Dama E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Cavaciocchi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Trestina 29 / 100
Figline 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Trestina Figline
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Figline Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting Trestina scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Figline let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Sporting Trestina went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Trestina VS Figline
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Trestina
(Home) 20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0 Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1 Fossombrone
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0 Sporting Trestina
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5 Vigor Senigallia
29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1 Fossombrone
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5 Vigor Senigallia
26 Apr
Sporting Trestina
0 : 2 Prato
12 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
28 Mar
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1 Scandicci
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Figline
(Away) 19 Aug
Montevarchi
0 : 0 Figline
11 May
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 0 Figline
04 May
Figline
4 : 1 Livorno
27 Apr
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1 Figline
17 Apr
Figline
0 : 1 Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 6
19 Aug
Montevarchi
0 : 0 Figline
11 May
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 0 Figline
27 Apr
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1 Figline
12 Apr
Orvietana
1 : 0 Figline
30 Mar
Siena
0 : 0 Figline
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Livorno | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 74:44 | 72 |
| 2 | Fulgens Foligno | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 61:44 | 60 |
| 3 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:39 | 59 |
| 4 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 65:57 | 55 |
| 5 | Orvietana | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 44:41 | 53 |
| 6 | Siena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:32 | 52 |
| 7 | Grosseto | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:34 | 50 |
| 8 | Ostiamare | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49:53 | 45 |
| 9 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 32:36 | 43 |
| 10 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 26:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Montevarchi | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 36:39 | 41 |
| 12 | Flaminia | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:43 | 40 |
| 13 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40:45 | 40 |
| 14 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 34:47 | 39 |
| 15 | Figline | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 29:33 | 38 |
| 16 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:45 | 38 |
| 17 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 30:38 | 36 |
| 18 | Fezzanese | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:63 | 26 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)
