Sport Picks
Sporting Trestina vs Follonica Gavorrano
Italy
Serie D - Group E 
AI Match Summary
Sporting Trestina play Follonica Gavorrano in the Serie D - Group E. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sporting Trestina averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Follonica Gavorrano averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Sporting Trestina won 1, Follonica Gavorrano won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Sporting Trestina and 0.75 for Follonica Gavorrano. This points to a Sporting Trestina double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sporting Trestina has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Follonica Gavorrano.
- Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group E provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Follonica Gavorrano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Trestina Compare
Follonica Gavorrano Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting Trestina scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Follonica Gavorrano let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Sporting Trestina went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Follonica Gavorrano lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |