Sport Picks
Sporting Trestina vs Seravezza Pozzi
Italy
Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 
Match Events
6'
6'
Granturchelli G.
AI Match Summary
Sporting Trestina in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting Trestina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Seravezza Pozzi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Seravezza Pozzi have won more games recently than Sporting Trestina.
- Model gives Seravezza Pozzi a 46% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 18%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Seravezza Pozzi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Seravezza Pozzi
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Sporting Trestina
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Sporting Trestina
2:1
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Seravezza Pozzi
2:2
Mar 23, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Seravezza Pozzi
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Trestina Compare
Top Goalscorer Granturchelli G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Seravezza Pozzi Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Trestina 15 / 100
Seravezza Pozzi 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Trestina Seravezza Pozzi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Seravezza Pozzi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting Trestina scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Seravezza Pozzi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Sporting Trestina went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Trestina VS Seravezza Pozzi
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Trestina
(Home) 12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0 Sporting Trestina
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5 Vigor Senigallia
29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
03 May
Siena
4 : 4 Sporting Trestina
26 Apr
Sporting Trestina
0 : 2 Prato
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5 Vigor Senigallia
26 Apr
Sporting Trestina
0 : 2 Prato
12 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
28 Mar
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1 Scandicci
15 Mar
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1 Orvietana
Page 1 of 3
Seravezza Pozzi
(Away) 12 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
5 : 0 Lucchese
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
21 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 1 Scandicci
14 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0 Pistoiese
07 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
2 : 2 Sestri Levante
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
17 May
Prato
1 : 2 Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Tau
0 : 2 Seravezza Pozzi
03 May
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
19 Apr
Ghiviborgo
1 : 0 Seravezza Pozzi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)
