Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Trestina vs Seravezza Pozzi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Granturchelli G.

AI Match Summary

Sporting Trestina in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting Trestina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sporting Trestina
30%
Draws
34%
Seravezza Pozzi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting Trestina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Seravezza Pozzi have won more games recently than Sporting Trestina.
  • Model gives Sporting Trestina a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 68%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Trestina Seravezza Pozzi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 12 12
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Seravezza Pozzi
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Sporting Trestina
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Sporting Trestina
2:1
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Seravezza Pozzi
2:2
Mar 23, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Seravezza Pozzi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Trestina Compare

Top Goalscorer Granturchelli G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Seravezza Pozzi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Trestina 46 / 100
Seravezza Pozzi 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Trestina Seravezza Pozzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Trestina scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Seravezza Pozzi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Sporting Trestina went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Trestina VS Seravezza Pozzi
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Trestina

(Home)
03 May
Siena
4 : 4
Sporting Trestina
26 Apr
Sporting Trestina
0 : 2
Prato
19 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1 : 1
Sporting Trestina
12 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1
Follonica Gavorrano
03 Apr
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 0
Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 6

Seravezza Pozzi

(Away)
17 May
Prato
1 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Tau
0 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
03 May
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
26 Apr
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0
Foligno
19 Apr
Ghiviborgo
1 : 0
Seravezza Pozzi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosseto34226658:2572
2Tau34189753:3363
3Prato34205949:2963
4Siena34179857:3560
5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:2957
6Terranuova Traiana341491128:3051
7Foligno341491145:3751
8Scandicci341115839:3248
9Montevarchi341016828:3246
10Sporting Trestina3410121240:4242
11San Donato Tavarnelle349131230:3540
12Ghiviborgo3410101442:4440
13Orvietana349111433:3738
14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:4937
15Camaiore Calcio34981741:5435
16Poggibonsi347101729:4631
17Cannara34682024:5926
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro342161620:4622
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)