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Sporting Trestina vs Termoli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting Trestina host Termoli in the Serie D - Group F. This one's hard to separate. Termoli have shipped 0.72 goals a game lately, while Sporting Trestina have conceded 1.3 and scored 1.18. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.81 - 1.19) back Sporting Trestina to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Sporting Trestina
30%
Draws
58%
Termoli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Termoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting Trestina have won more games recently than Termoli.
  • Win probability leans Termoli's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 20%
Termoli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Trestina Termoli
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 12 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.18 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Trestina 24 / 100
Termoli 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Trestina Termoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Termoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Trestina found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Termoli conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Sporting Trestina remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Termoli's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Trestina VS Termoli
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Trestina

(Home)
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1
Fossombrone
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0
Sporting Trestina
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5
Vigor Senigallia
29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 7

Termoli

(Away)
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0
Termoli
13 Sept
Termoli
1 : 0
Angelana
06 Sept
Aquila Calcio
1 : 0
Termoli
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1
Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vigor Senigallia 4 4 0 0 10:4 12
2 Teramo 4 3 1 0 11:5 10
3 Foligno 4 3 0 1 5:5 9
4 Aquila Calcio 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
5 Ancona 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
6 Santegidiese 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
7 Atletico Ascoli 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
8 Montecchio Gallo 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
9 Recanatese 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
10 Fossombrone 4 2 0 2 5:9 6
11 Lanciano FC 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
12 Notaresco Calcio 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
13 Termoli 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
14 Maceratese 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
15 Angelana 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
16 Giulianova 4 0 1 3 3:6 1
17 Pietralunga 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
18 Sporting Trestina 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)