Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting W vs Damaiense W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Bravo A.
21'
Cancelinha E.
28'
Rasmussen A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 game between Sporting W and Damaiense W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sporting W
20%
Draws
23%
Damaiense W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Damaiense W haven't matched Sporting W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sporting W a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sporting W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Sporting W Clean Sheet 68%
Damaiense W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting W Damaiense W
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 11 5
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 1.94 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.77 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Damaiense W
3:0
Jan 16, 2026 Taça da Liga Women
Damaiense W vs Sporting W
1:6
Sep 22, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Sporting W
0:6
Mar 2, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Damaiense W
2:0
Feb 12, 2025 Taça da Liga Women
Damaiense W vs Sporting W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting W Compare

Top Goalscorer Santiago C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Damaiense W Compare

Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting W 95 / 100
Damaiense W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting W Damaiense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sporting W scored in 83% of their last 35 outings.

Damaiense W has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sporting W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting W VS Damaiense W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.33
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.83
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting W

(Home)
18 Sept
Sporting W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
12 Sept
Sporting W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
16 Aug
Sporting W
1 : 1
London City Lionesses W
08 Aug
St. Polten W
2 : 1
Sporting W
05 Aug
Sporting W
5 : 0
SeaSters Odesa W
Page 1 of 7

Damaiense W

(Away)
10 May
Torreense W
3 : 1
Damaiense W
03 May
Damaiense W
1 : 2
Maritimo W
25 Apr
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
Damaiense W
05 Apr
Rio Ave W
2 : 0
Damaiense W
28 Mar
Damaiense W
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 18 15 3 0 58:11 48
2 Sporting W 18 10 5 3 35:16 35
3 Torreense W 18 10 2 6 29:22 32
4 Valadares Gaia W 18 7 5 6 21:22 26
5 Braga W 18 6 6 6 26:21 24
6 Vitoria Guimaraes W 18 4 9 5 16:23 21
7 Racing Power W 18 4 6 8 16:23 18
8 Rio Ave W 18 4 5 9 10:18 17
9 Maritimo W 18 4 2 12 19:40 14
10 Damaiense W 18 2 5 11 17:51 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)