Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting W vs Hammarby W

Europe Europe

UEFA Europa Cup Women 2025/2026 CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Lennartsson S.
33'
Hernandez-Gray J.
65'
Sub
Encarnacao T. In: Raphino B.
Out: Encarnacao T.

AI Match Summary

Hammarby W in this UEFA Europa Cup Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Sporting W
35%
Draws
41%
Hammarby W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hammarby W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Hammarby W have won more games recently than Sporting W.
  • Hammarby W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Hammarby W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hammarby W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sporting W Clean Sheet 13%
Hammarby W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting W Hammarby W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 22
Draws 12 3
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.57 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.01 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 UEFA Europa Cup Women
Hammarby W vs Sporting W
1:1
Feb 11, 2026 UEFA Europa Cup Women
Sporting W vs Hammarby W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Hammarby W Compare

Top Goalscorer Joramo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting W 27 / 100
Hammarby W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting W Hammarby W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sporting W scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sporting W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Hammarby W conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting W VS Hammarby W
1.4 Goals Scored 2.75
0.6 Goals Conceded 0.63
60% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 75%
20% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting W

(Home)
16 Aug
Sporting W
1 : 1
London City Lionesses W
08 Aug
St. Polten W
2 : 1
Sporting W
05 Aug
Sporting W
5 : 0
SeaSters Odesa W
29 Jul
Sevilla W
0 : 0
Sporting W
10 May
Sporting W
0 : 0
Racing Power W
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Hammarby W

(Away)
05 Sept
Hammarby W
2 : 0
Norrkoping W
29 Aug
Hammarby W
3 : 1
Vittsjo W
21 Aug
Malmo FF W
1 : 1
Hammarby W
16 Aug
Hammarby W
5 : 0
Pitea W
08 Aug
Juventus W
3 : 1
Hammarby W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Sparta Prague W 4
Young Boys W 3
RSC Anderlecht W 1
Austria Vienna W 3
Glasgow City W 2
Sporting W 4
Ajax W 2
Hammarby W 6
PSV W 2
Eintracht Frankfurt W 5
Nordsjaelland W 5
ZNK Mura W 0
Hacken W 1
Inter W 0
Breidablik W 4
Fortuna Hjorring W 3
Quarter-finals
Sparta Prague W 3
Austria Vienna W 1
Sporting W 1
Hammarby W 2
Eintracht Frankfurt W 7
Nordsjaelland W 2
Hacken W 11
Breidablik W 1
Semi-finals
Sparta Prague W 2
Hammarby W 5
Eintracht Frankfurt W 1
Hacken W 3
Final
Hammarby W 2
Hacken W 4