Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting W vs Maritimo W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Encarnacao T.
Assist: Besugo N.
25' Event
Encarnacao T.
(Penalty)
27'
Bruninha

AI Match Summary

Sporting W in this Liga BPI Women matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sporting W
20%
Draws
23%
Maritimo W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting W have won more games recently than Maritimo W.
  • Win probability leans Sporting W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sporting W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sporting W Clean Sheet 20%
Maritimo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting W Maritimo W
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 12 4
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1.76 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.79 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Maritimo W
5:0
Mar 15, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Maritimo W
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Sporting W
0:4
May 11, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Sporting W
0:3
Feb 15, 2025 Taça de Portugal Women
Sporting W vs Maritimo W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting W Compare

Top Goalscorer Encarnacao T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Besugo N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Maritimo W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting W 85 / 100
Maritimo W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting W Maritimo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo W let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Sporting W scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Sporting W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting W VS Maritimo W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting W

(Home)
18 Sept
Sporting W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
12 Sept
Sporting W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
16 Aug
Sporting W
1 : 1
London City Lionesses W
08 Aug
St. Polten W
2 : 1
Sporting W
05 Aug
Sporting W
5 : 0
SeaSters Odesa W
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Maritimo W

(Away)
18 Sept
Sporting W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
24 May
Maritimo W
1 : 0
Albergaria/Durit W
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Torreense W 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
3 SL Benfica W 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
4 Braga W 2 1 1 0 6:1 4
5 FC Porto W 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
6 Racing Power W 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
7 Valadares Gaia W 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
8 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
9 Rio Ave W 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
10 Maritimo W 2 0 0 2 0:10 0
Relegation - Liga BPI Women (Relegation Group)