Sport Picks

Europe

UEFA Europa Cup Women CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira

Rosengard W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sporting W play Rosengard W in the UEFA Europa Cup Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sporting W averaged 1.91 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. Rosengard W averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Sporting W won 1, Rosengard W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 15, 2025 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.26 for Sporting W and 1.27 for Rosengard W. This points to a Sporting W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Sporting W

26%

Draws

27%

Rosengard W

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Sporting W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Sporting W picked up more points recently compared to Rosengard W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.26 vs 1.27 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Sporting W Clean Sheet 19%

Rosengard W Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sporting W	Rosengard W
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	16	10
Draws	10	6
Losses	6	13
Goals Scored	1.91	1.69
Goals Conceded	0.91	1.41
Expected Goals (xG)	1.14	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.29	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2025 UEFA Europa Cup Women

Rosengard W vs Sporting W

Possession: 49% - 46% Cards: 1 - 0

2:2

Oct 7, 2025 UEFA Europa Cup Women

Sporting W vs Rosengard W

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting W Compare

Top Goalscorer Haugen M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Santiago C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.88

Avg xA / game 0.57

Rosengard W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting W 46 / 100

Rosengard W 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sporting W Rosengard W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sporting W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sporting W attacking → ← attacking Rosengard W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting W scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Rosengard W let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Sporting W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rosengard W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 36

1.14 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.29 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38