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Sporting W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Cameirao B.
Assist: Ramirez E.
59'
Sub
Zidoi G. In: Hilbig E.
Out: Zidoi G.
70'
Sub
Filipinha In: Ferreira M.
Out: Filipinha

AI Match Summary

Sporting W in this Liga BPI Women matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Sporting W
35%
Draws
13%
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sporting W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting W have won more games recently than Vitoria Guimaraes W.
  • Model gives Sporting W a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sporting W Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Guimaraes W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting W Vitoria Guimaraes W
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 13 11
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.78 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W
2:0
Jan 24, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Vitoria Guimaraes W vs Sporting W
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cameirao B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Encarnacao T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Vitoria Guimaraes W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting W 85 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting W Vitoria Guimaraes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting W found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (36 games).

Vitoria Guimaraes W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Sporting W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Vitoria Guimaraes W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting W VS Vitoria Guimaraes W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting W

(Home)
30 Sept
Sporting W
2 : 2
Brondby W
27 Sept
Braga W
0 : 0
Sporting W
23 Sept
Brondby W
4 : 1
Sporting W
18 Sept
Sporting W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
12 Sept
Sporting W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Page 1 of 8

Vitoria Guimaraes W

(Away)
03 Oct
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
19 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes W
0 : 3
Torreense W
12 Sept
Sporting W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
10 May
Braga W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
02 May
Vitoria Guimaraes W
0 : 0
Torreense W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torreense W 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Sporting W 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
3 SL Benfica W 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
4 Braga W 3 1 2 0 6:1 5
5 FC Porto W 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
6 Racing Power W 3 1 1 1 1:3 4
7 Valadares Gaia W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
8 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
9 Rio Ave W 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
10 Maritimo W 3 0 0 3 0:18 0
Relegation - Liga BPI Women (Relegation Group)