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Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción
Sportivo Ameliano Logo

Sportivo Ameliano

1 - 1
FT
2 de Mayo Logo

2 de Mayo

Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Ramirez Perdesen C. G.
26'
Sub
Espinola A. In: Gomez R.
Out: Espinola A.
38'
Peralta R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sportivo Ameliano
30%
Draws
23%
2 de Mayo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sportivo Ameliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to 2 de Mayo lately — more wins on the board than Sportivo Ameliano.
  • Win probability leans Sportivo Ameliano's way, sitting at 70%.
  • 2 de Mayo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor 2 de Mayo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 68%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Ameliano 2 de Mayo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 13 9
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo
1:1
Apr 10, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo
3:0
Nov 10, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo
2:3
Aug 23, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Ameliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreira E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

2 de Mayo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Ameliano 77 / 100
2 de Mayo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Ameliano 2 de Mayo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sportivo Ameliano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Ameliano scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

2 de Mayo has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sportivo Ameliano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Ameliano VS 2 de Mayo
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportivo Ameliano

(Home)
06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2
Rubio Nu
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0
San Lorenzo
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2
Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6

2 de Mayo

(Away)
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2
2 de Mayo
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2
2 de Mayo
22 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 4
Sol de America
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0
2 de Mayo
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Sportivo Trinidense 14 7 3 4 24:14 24
5 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Cerro Porteno 14 6 2 6 18:14 20
8 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
9 Sp. Luqueno 14 4 1 9 14:27 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 14 0 4 10 5:23 4
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)