Sport Picks
Sportivo Ameliano vs Guarani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sportivo Ameliano have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Guarani's 1.03 scored and 0.86 conceded. Past meetings favor Guarani slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.13, favoring Guarani. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sportivo Ameliano haven't matched Guarani's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Guarani arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Guarani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 13 | 12 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sportivo Ameliano scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Sportivo Ameliano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Guarani let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Ameliano
(Home)Guarani
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 17:13 | 28 |
| 2 | Olimpia Asuncion | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 22:10 | 27 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:8 | 26 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 24 |
| 6 | Guarani | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 16:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15:16 | 18 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15:24 | 13 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14:27 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5:23 | 4 |
