Sport Picks
Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción 
Match Events
24'
24'
Gaona Lugo O.
40'
40'
Rodriguez W.
54'
54'
Torales R.
Assist: Franco F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Copa de Primera tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sportivo Ameliano haven't matched Nacional Asuncion's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Nacional Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sportivo Ameliano, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 19%
Nacional Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion
1:1
Apr 20, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion
1:1
Feb 19, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Nov 20, 2025 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
2:0
Aug 29, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportivo Ameliano Compare
Top Goalscorer Torales R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Nacional Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Benitez H. A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Ameliano 36 / 100
Nacional Asuncion 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Ameliano Nacional Asuncion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Ameliano scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Nacional Asuncion has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Sportivo Ameliano went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Ameliano VS Nacional Asuncion
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Ameliano
(Home) 25 Jul
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
16 May
Guarani
1 : 0 Sportivo Ameliano
11 May
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 2 Recoleta
03 May
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
11 May
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 2 Recoleta
20 Apr
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
05 Apr
Sportivo Ameliano
2 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 3
Nacional Asuncion
(Away) 25 Jul
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
24 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
15 May
Rubio Nu
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
09 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
03 May
Guarani
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
15 May
Rubio Nu
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
03 May
Guarani
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
20 Apr
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
04 Apr
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sp. Luqueno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Sportivo Trinidense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 | Recoleta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Cerro Porteno | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 10 | Guarani | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 | Olimpia Asuncion | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 12 | Rubio Nu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
