Sport Picks
Sportivo Ameliano vs Recoleta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio La Fortaleza del Pikysyry, Villeta 
Match Events
31'
31'
Rios P.
41'
41'
Moreira E.
Assist: Ayala L.
46'
46'
Sub
Baez W. In: Barreto O.
Out: Baez W.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sportivo Ameliano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Recoleta haven't matched Sportivo Ameliano's recent run of results.
- Model gives Sportivo Ameliano a 42% chance of winning this.
- Sportivo Ameliano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sportivo Ameliano, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 20%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 13 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Recoleta
3:1
May 11, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Recoleta
3:2
Mar 9, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Sep 29, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Recoleta
1:4
Jul 21, 2025 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportivo Ameliano Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreira E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Torales R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Recoleta Compare
Top Goalscorer Rios P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Ameliano 42 / 100
Recoleta 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Ameliano Recoleta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Ameliano's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Recoleta conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Sportivo Ameliano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Ameliano VS Recoleta
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Ameliano
(Home) 06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Rubio Nu
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Rubio Nu
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
02 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
0 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
22 Aug
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 1 Recoleta
08 Aug
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 3
Recoleta
(Away) 05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Recoleta
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1 Guairena FC
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0 Recoleta
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Recoleta
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0 Recoleta
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
26 Aug
Deportivo Santani
0 : 2 Recoleta
22 Aug
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 1 Recoleta
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5:23 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
