Sport Picks
Sportivo Ameliano vs San Lorenzo
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción 
Match Events
10'
10'
Benitez J.
14'
14'
Villamayor H.
30'
30'
Villamayor H.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Sportivo Ameliano advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sportivo Ameliano carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Sportivo Ameliano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sportivo Ameliano, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Sportivo Ameliano here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 24%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 31, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:2
Jan 31, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs San Lorenzo
1:0
Sep 25, 2021 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Ameliano vs San Lorenzo
3:0
Jun 19, 2021 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Ameliano 37 / 100
San Lorenzo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Ameliano San Lorenzo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Ameliano scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
San Lorenzo let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.25 goals.
Sportivo Ameliano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Ameliano VS San Lorenzo
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Ameliano
(Home) 25 Jul
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
16 May
Guarani
1 : 0 Sportivo Ameliano
11 May
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 2 Recoleta
03 May
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
11 May
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 2 Recoleta
20 Apr
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
05 Apr
Sportivo Ameliano
2 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 3
San Lorenzo
(Away) 25 Jul
Recoleta
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
22 May
2 de Mayo
0 : 1 San Lorenzo
17 May
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
10 May
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Olimpia Asuncion
01 May
Libertad Asuncion
5 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Recoleta
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
22 May
2 de Mayo
0 : 1 San Lorenzo
01 May
Libertad Asuncion
5 : 0 San Lorenzo
17 Apr
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 San Lorenzo
04 Apr
Recoleta
4 : 2 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
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