Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sportivo Ameliano vs Sp. Luqueno

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Maiz A.
22' Event
Franco T.
Assist: Quintana S.
27' Event
Cabral R.
Assist: Larralde V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa de Primera matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sportivo Ameliano
20%
Draws
38%
Sp. Luqueno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sportivo Ameliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Sportivo Ameliano have won more games recently than Sp. Luqueno.
  • Sportivo Ameliano are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa de Primera fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 19%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Ameliano Sp. Luqueno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Sp. Luqueno
2:2
Feb 6, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Sp. Luqueno
0:1
Jun 2, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Ameliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabral R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sp. Luqueno Compare

Top Goalscorer Franco T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Ameliano 42 / 100
Sp. Luqueno 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Ameliano Sp. Luqueno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sp. Luqueno has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Sportivo Ameliano's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sportivo Ameliano went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Ameliano VS Sp. Luqueno
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115