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Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Trinidense

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Paredes A.
25' Event
Romero F.
(Penalty)
37'
Cabral R.

AI Match Summary

Sportivo Trinidense in this Copa de Primera matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportivo Trinidense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sportivo Ameliano
40%
Draws
29%
Sportivo Trinidense
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sportivo Ameliano average 1.63 goals a game right now, well clear of Sportivo Trinidense's 1.5.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 19%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Trinidense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 12
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:2
Mar 19, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Nov 26, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Trinidense
0:0
Sep 8, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:0
Apr 4, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Trinidense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Ameliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Paredes A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sportivo Trinidense Compare

Top Goalscorer De la Cruz L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Ameliano 32 / 100
Sportivo Trinidense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Trinidense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Ameliano scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Sportivo Trinidense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Sportivo Ameliano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Sportivo Trinidense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Ameliano VS Sportivo Trinidense
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115