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Sportivo Barracas vs El Porvenir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Ortega L.
39' Event
Villagra L.
67' Event
Sosa S.

AI Match Summary

Sportivo Barracas in this Primera C matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportivo Barracas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sportivo Barracas
20%
Draws
40%
El Porvenir
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sportivo Barracas have won more games recently than El Porvenir.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Sportivo Barracas Clean Sheet 68%
El Porvenir Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Barracas El Porvenir
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 14
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.03 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Primera C
Sportivo Barracas vs El Porvenir
3:2
Mar 30, 2026 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Sportivo Barracas
2:2
Aug 9, 2024 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Sportivo Barracas
1:0
Mar 8, 2024 Primera C
Sportivo Barracas vs El Porvenir
0:0
Nov 20, 2023 Primera D
El Porvenir vs Sportivo Barracas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Barracas Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortega L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sosa S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

El Porvenir Compare

Top Goalscorer Villagra L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oviedo N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Barracas 41 / 100
El Porvenir 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Barracas El Porvenir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sportivo Barracas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Barracas's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

El Porvenir let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: El Porvenir registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Barracas VS El Porvenir
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportivo Barracas

(Home)
05 Oct
Sportivo Barracas
0 : 2
Leones de Rosario
27 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Sportivo Barracas
21 Sept
Sportivo Barracas
0 : 2
Canuelas
13 Sept
Defensores de Cambaceres
1 : 0
Sportivo Barracas
07 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
0 : 2
Sportivo Barracas
Page 1 of 6

El Porvenir

(Away)
05 Oct
El Porvenir
1 : 1
Canuelas
29 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
3 : 2
El Porvenir
21 Sept
El Porvenir
0 : 2
Deportivo Espanol
12 Sept
Juventud Unida San Miguel
0 : 1
El Porvenir
05 Sept
Central Cordoba (Rosario)
2 : 0
El Porvenir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berazategui 31 12 12 7 37:24 48
2 CSR Espanol 31 12 11 8 42:28 47
3 Sacachispas 31 13 8 10 32:26 47
4 CA Lugano 31 11 13 7 35:28 46
5 Juventud Unida San Miguel 31 12 9 10 38:31 45
6 Estrella Del Sur 31 11 12 8 31:29 45
7 Mercedes 31 11 11 9 30:24 44
8 Victoriano Arenas 31 10 14 7 24:19 44
9 Puerto Nuevo 31 9 11 11 28:35 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 31 9 9 13 25:31 36
11 Justo Jose de Urquiza 31 6 14 11 19:26 32
12 Deportivo Paraguayo 31 7 11 13 23:39 32
13 Leandro N. Alem 31 8 7 16 30:56 31
14 Argentino de Rosario 31 4 15 12 30:41 27
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Lujan 31 18 7 6 45:22 61
2 Canuelas 31 16 10 5 39:22 58
3 Central Cordoba (Rosario) 31 13 10 8 32:22 49
4 Deportivo Espanol 31 11 16 4 25:16 49
5 Leones de Rosario 31 12 12 7 29:24 48
6 General Lamadrid 31 9 13 9 23:27 40
7 Sportivo Barracas 31 11 6 14 32:32 39
8 CSD Central Ballester 31 10 8 13 29:30 38
9 Atlas 31 9 10 12 23:27 37
10 El Porvenir 31 7 16 8 26:31 37
11 Yupanqui 31 8 11 12 33:35 35
12 Fenix 31 8 10 13 23:30 34
13 Claypole 31 8 9 14 25:39 33
14 Deportivo Muniz 31 6 11 14 22:36 29
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)