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Sportivo Belgrano vs Bartolome Mitre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Oscar C. Boero, San Francisco
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Tarifa G.
19'
Canzoniero L.
19'
Sub
Gimenez J. In: Franceschi E.
Out: Gimenez J.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Sportivo Belgrano and Bartolome Mitre finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sportivo Belgrano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sportivo Belgrano
15%
Draws
49%
Bartolome Mitre
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bartolome Mitre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bartolome Mitre come out ahead of Sportivo Belgrano on wins alone.
  • Bartolome Mitre are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Sportivo Belgrano Clean Sheet 22%
Bartolome Mitre Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Belgrano Bartolome Mitre
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.89 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Belgrano vs Bartolome Mitre
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Belgrano Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarifa G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lesman G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Bartolome Mitre Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Belgrano 29 / 100
Bartolome Mitre 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Belgrano Bartolome Mitre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bartolome Mitre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Bartolome Mitre lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Sportivo Belgrano's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Bartolome Mitre let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Belgrano VS Bartolome Mitre
0.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportivo Belgrano

(Home)
13 Sept
Sportivo Belgrano
0 : 4
Douglas Haig
06 Sept
Sol de America
2 : 0
Sportivo Belgrano
30 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
2 : 0
Bartolome Mitre
23 Aug
Sarmiento de La Banda
3 : 0
Sportivo Belgrano
17 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
0 : 2
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Page 1 of 6

Bartolome Mitre

(Away)
20 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 0
San Martin Formosa
13 Sept
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 1
Bartolome Mitre
06 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
30 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
2 : 0
Bartolome Mitre
23 Aug
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 3
Douglas Haig
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 8 5 2 1 14:5 17
2 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 8 4 3 1 6:2 15
3 Sol de America 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 8 4 1 3 6:3 13
5 Douglas Haig 8 3 3 2 12:7 12
6 9 de Julio Rafaela 8 3 3 2 9:6 12
7 Bartolome Mitre 8 1 2 5 3:10 5
8 Sarmiento de La Banda 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
9 Sportivo Belgrano 8 1 2 5 3:14 5
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alvarado 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Cipolletti 8 4 3 1 10:7 15
3 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 8 3 4 1 7:4 13
4 Biblioteca Atenas 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
5 Kimberley 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
6 Argentino MM 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
7 Villa Mitre 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
8 Huracan Las Heras 8 2 1 5 3:8 7
9 Juventud Antoniana 8 0 2 6 1:12 2
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)