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Sportivo Carapegua vs Guairena FC

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sportivo Carapegua host Guairena FC in the Division Intermedia. Little to choose between these two on current form. Guairena FC have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Sportivo Carapegua have conceded 2.13 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Sportivo Carapegua have won 0 to Guairena FC's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Aug 17, 2025, ending 3:3. xG projections (0.88 - 1.63) back Guairena FC to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Sportivo Carapegua
22%
Draws
60%
Guairena FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Guairena FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Sportivo Carapegua haven't matched Guairena FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Guairena FC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 14%
Guairena FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Carapegua Guairena FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Guairena FC
3:3
May 8, 2025 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:1
Jun 15, 2024 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Guairena FC
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Carapegua 19 / 100
Guairena FC 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Carapegua Guairena FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Carapegua found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Guairena FC conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Sportivo Carapegua went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Carapegua VS Guairena FC
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benjamin Aceval1383223:1227
212 de Junio1383220:1127
3General Caballero JLM1373329:2024
4Deportivo Capiata1356220:1521
5Sol de America1356216:1121
6Deportivo Santani1363414:1121
7Guairena FC1363416:1621
8Independiente FBC1354419:1719
9Atletico Tembetary1353520:1918
10Resistencia1446416:1818
11Sportivo Carapegua1444616:2616
12Fernando de la Mora1443715:2215
13Tacuary1326517:2112
14Paraguari AC1424812:1810
15Encarnacion FC1322913:218
163 de Noviembre1307612:207