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Sportivo Carapegua vs 24 de Setiembre

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Montiel A.
27' Event
Gimenez A.
90'
Meza P.

AI Match Summary

Sportivo Carapegua in this Division Intermedia 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportivo Carapegua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sportivo Carapegua
6%
Draws
4%
24 de Setiembre
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sportivo Carapegua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sportivo Carapegua at 1.25 per game, 24 de Setiembre at 0.
  • Sportivo Carapegua are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division Intermedia 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 68%
24 de Setiembre Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Carapegua 24 de Setiembre
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2023 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs 24 de Setiembre
2:0
May 13, 2023 Division Intermedia
24 de Setiembre vs Sportivo Carapegua
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Montiel A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gimenez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

24 de Setiembre Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Carapegua 95 / 100
24 de Setiembre 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Carapegua 24 de Setiembre

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

24 de Setiembre let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Sportivo Carapegua's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Sportivo Carapegua went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Carapegua VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sol de America30214546:2567
22 de Mayo30169546:2357
3Independiente FBC30149753:3551
4Recoleta30156959:4551
5Fernando de la Mora301461040:3148
6Rubio Nu301281042:4444
7Deportivo Santani301281041:4344
8Sportivo Carapegua301110943:3143
9Pastoreo301110937:3143
10San Lorenzo301191035:2742
113 de Febrero301161339:4239
12Colegiales30951629:4432
13Martin Ledesma30871530:4131
1424 de Setiembre30781538:5229
15Atyra30751832:5826
1612 de Octubre30282024:6214