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Sportivo Carapegua vs Benjamin Aceval - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Bobadilla J.
61' Event
Verdun M.
79' Event
Morales E.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Sportivo Carapegua in this Division Intermedia matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportivo Carapegua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Sportivo Carapegua
20%
Draws
17%
Benjamin Aceval
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sportivo Carapegua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Benjamin Aceval at 1.45 per game, Sportivo Carapegua at 1.27.
  • Sportivo Carapegua are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 20%
Benjamin Aceval Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Carapegua Benjamin Aceval
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Benjamin Aceval
2:0
May 21, 2026 Division Intermedia
Benjamin Aceval vs Sportivo Carapegua
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Bobadilla J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Verdun M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Benjamin Aceval Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Carapegua 85 / 100
Benjamin Aceval 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Carapegua Benjamin Aceval

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sportivo Carapegua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Carapegua scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Sportivo Carapegua remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Benjamin Aceval's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Carapegua VS Benjamin Aceval
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportivo Carapegua

(Home)
09 Oct
Sol de America
2 : 4
Sportivo Carapegua
02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1
Deportivo Capiata
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1
Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0
Tacuary
15 Sept
Atletico Tembetary
1 : 2
Sportivo Carapegua
Page 1 of 6

Benjamin Aceval

(Away)
06 Oct
Benjamin Aceval
2 : 3
Independiente FBC
26 Sept
Tacuary
2 : 1
Benjamin Aceval
21 Sept
Benjamin Aceval
2 : 1
Atletico Tembetary
14 Sept
Benjamin Aceval
1 : 3
Paraguari AC
10 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 0
Benjamin Aceval
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Santani 27 17 3 7 46:25 54
2 General Caballero JLM 27 16 5 6 54:33 53
3 12 de Junio 27 14 8 5 36:27 50
4 Benjamin Aceval 27 12 6 9 42:35 42
5 Sportivo Carapegua 28 12 6 10 36:41 42
6 Sol de America 28 9 14 5 35:29 41
7 Paraguari AC 28 12 5 11 40:37 41
8 Independiente FBC 27 10 10 7 40:35 40
9 Atletico Tembetary 27 10 6 11 39:42 36
10 Resistencia 27 9 8 10 31:32 35
11 Fernando de la Mora 27 9 7 11 30:37 34
12 Deportivo Capiata 27 6 11 10 31:37 29
13 3 de Noviembre 27 6 8 13 33:40 26
14 Guairena FC 27 6 7 14 22:36 25
15 Tacuary 28 4 12 12 32:47 24
16 Encarnacion FC 27 6 4 17 25:39 22
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)