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Sportivo Carapegua vs Martin Ledesma

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Leguizamon O.

AI Match Summary

Sportivo Carapegua in this Division Intermedia 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportivo Carapegua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sportivo Carapegua
40%
Draws
29%
Martin Ledesma
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sportivo Carapegua average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Martin Ledesma's 0.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division Intermedia 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 19%
Martin Ledesma Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Carapegua Martin Ledesma
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 12
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2024 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Martin Ledesma
1:0
Jun 9, 2024 Division Intermedia
Martin Ledesma vs Sportivo Carapegua
0:0
Jul 29, 2023 Division Intermedia
Martin Ledesma vs Sportivo Carapegua
0:0
Apr 24, 2023 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Martin Ledesma
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Leguizamon O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Martin Ledesma Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Carapegua 32 / 100
Martin Ledesma 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Carapegua Martin Ledesma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Carapegua scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

Martin Ledesma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Sportivo Carapegua has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Martin Ledesma lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Carapegua VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportivo Carapegua

(Home)
26 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 2
General Caballero JLM
18 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 1
Guairena FC
10 Jul
Resistencia
1 : 1
Sportivo Carapegua
05 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1
Sol de America
27 Jun
Deportivo Capiata
5 : 2
Sportivo Carapegua
Page 1 of 7

Martin Ledesma

(Away)
12 Oct
Independiente FBC
1 : 3
Martin Ledesma
05 Oct
Martin Ledesma
1 : 2
Resistencia
28 Sept
Rubio Nu
3 : 1
Martin Ledesma
23 Sept
Martin Ledesma
0 : 0
Deportivo Santani
18 Sept
Martin Ledesma
0 : 1
Guairena FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Recoleta30198357:2065
2Atletico Tembetary30195646:2462
3Sportivo Carapegua30177645:2758
4San Lorenzo301210835:3146
5Resistencia301361135:3545
6Encarnacion FC301281043:3944
7Deportivo Santani301191035:3342
8Rubio Nu301191033:3542
9Guairena FC301011930:2538
1012 de Junio301081235:3538
11Independiente FBC301081233:3738
12Martin Ledesma308121028:3536
13Fernando de la Mora308111131:3335
143 de Febrero306111324:3729
15Pastoreo30651928:5023
16Colegiales30242428:7010
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2025 (Apertura)