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Sportivo Carapegua vs Pastoreo

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

76'
Ojeda M.
79' Event
Falcon D.
90' Event
Candia P.

AI Match Summary

Pastoreo in this Division Intermedia 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pastoreo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Sportivo Carapegua
11%
Draws
80%
Pastoreo
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Pastoreo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Sportivo Carapegua haven't matched Pastoreo's recent run of results.
  • Pastoreo are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 16%
Pastoreo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Carapegua Pastoreo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Pastoreo
0:2
Jun 1, 2025 Division Intermedia
Pastoreo vs Sportivo Carapegua
3:1
Sep 27, 2024 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Pastoreo
3:1
Jun 22, 2024 Division Intermedia
Pastoreo vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:3
Sep 22, 2023 Division Intermedia
Pastoreo vs Sportivo Carapegua
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Pastoreo Compare

Top Goalscorer Falcon D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Candia P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Carapegua 11 / 100
Pastoreo 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Carapegua Pastoreo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Sportivo Carapegua scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Pastoreo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Sportivo Carapegua remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Carapegua VS Pastoreo
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportivo Carapegua

(Home)
26 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 2
General Caballero JLM
18 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 1
Guairena FC
10 Jul
Resistencia
1 : 1
Sportivo Carapegua
05 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1
Sol de America
27 Jun
Deportivo Capiata
5 : 2
Sportivo Carapegua
Page 1 of 7

Pastoreo

(Away)
04 Oct
Deportivo Santani
0 : 0
Pastoreo
27 Sept
Pastoreo
0 : 0
Tacuary
21 Sept
Resistencia
1 : 5
Pastoreo
14 Sept
Pastoreo
1 : 0
Guairena FC
06 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 2
Pastoreo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rubio Nu30179446:2160
2San Lorenzo30158738:2253
3Deportivo Capiata301410637:2152
412 de Junio301212636:2648
5Pastoreo301011934:3141
6Resistencia30913846:5040
7Guairena FC301161341:3839
8Sol de America309111034:3538
9Tacuary301081228:3638
10Club River Plate30813935:3937
11Deportivo Santani308111133:3535
12Encarnacion FC308111133:4235
13Sportivo Carapegua307131039:4634
14Independiente FBC30971432:4034
15Fernando de la Mora306101424:4028
16Guarani de Fram305111435:4926
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2025 (Apertura)