Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sportivo Italiano vs Excursionistas

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Republica de Italia Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Fantino L.
34'
Alaniz M.
39'
Maizarez I.

AI Match Summary

Sportivo Italiano host Excursionistas in the Primera B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Sportivo Italiano at 0.88 goals for, 1.13 against; Excursionistas at 1.88 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Excursionistas slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.94 - 1.50) back Excursionistas to edge this. Excursionistas in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Sportivo Italiano
11%
Draws
80%
Excursionistas
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Excursionistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Excursionistas demonstrates higher offensive output (1.88 avg goals) than Sportivo Italiano (0.88 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Excursionistas.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Primera B provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Sportivo Italiano Clean Sheet 16%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Italiano Excursionistas
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs Excursionistas
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs Excursionistas
2:1
Mar 15, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano
2:0
Jul 10, 2024 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano
1:1
Feb 20, 2024 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs Excursionistas
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Italiano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Excursionistas Compare

Top Goalscorer Polvera M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Italiano 11 / 100
Excursionistas 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Italiano Excursionistas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EXC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Italiano scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Excursionistas let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Sportivo Italiano went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Excursionistas lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Italiano VS Excursionistas
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal Sarandi24138336:1847
2Villa Dalmine24137430:1446
3Talleres Remedios Escalada24137427:1146
4Excursionistas24136535:1745
5Deportivo Camioneros24118528:1741
6Sportivo Italiano24108624:2038
7Real Pilar24107727:2537
8Argentino de Merlo2497824:2134
9Comunicaciones2497828:2634
10Deportivo Armenio2496926:2833
11San Martin Burzaco24711623:2032
12Laferrere2488826:3032
13Dep. Merlo2488827:3532
14Dock Sud2469925:2427
15Argentino de Quilmes2469924:2827
16CSD Liniers24681016:2426
17Defensores Unidos24591020:2724
18Brown Adrogue24591016:2724
19UAI Urquiza24314712:2023
20Flandria24651319:3123
21Villa San Carlos244101024:3022
22Ituzaingo24171617:4110