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Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Republica de Italia Stadium, Buenos Aires
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sportivo Italiano host Arsenal Sarandi in the Primera B. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Sportivo Italiano have averaged 1.18 scored and 0.68 conceded recently, against Arsenal Sarandi's 1.18 scored and 0.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Sportivo Italiano have won 1 to Arsenal Sarandi's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 6, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (0.75 - 1.06) back Sportivo Italiano to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sportivo Italiano
15%
Draws
40%
Arsenal Sarandi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sportivo Italiano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Sportivo Italiano and Arsenal Sarandi close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Model gives Sportivo Italiano a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sportivo Italiano Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal Sarandi Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Italiano Arsenal Sarandi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.18 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.68 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Primera B
Arsenal Sarandi vs Sportivo Italiano
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Italiano 42 / 100
Arsenal Sarandi 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Italiano Arsenal Sarandi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Sportivo Italiano's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Sportivo Italiano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Arsenal Sarandi has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Italiano VS Arsenal Sarandi
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportivo Italiano

(Home)
04 Oct
Sportivo Italiano
2 : 0
Talleres Remedios Escalada
26 Sept
Laferrere
1 : 2
Sportivo Italiano
19 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
0 : 0
Brown Adrogue
12 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0
Sportivo Italiano
05 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
3 : 1
Flandria
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal Sarandi

(Away)
03 Oct
Villa San Carlos
1 : 0
Arsenal Sarandi
26 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0
CSD Liniers
19 Sept
Real Pilar
2 : 1
Arsenal Sarandi
12 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0
UAI Urquiza
05 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 1
Arsenal Sarandi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 39 23 8 8 63:30 77
2 Arsenal Sarandi 38 19 12 7 50:25 69
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 39 19 11 9 41:24 68
4 Sportivo Italiano 38 18 11 9 45:28 65
5 Villa Dalmine 38 17 13 8 38:23 64
6 Deportivo Camioneros 39 17 13 9 44:30 64
7 Real Pilar 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
8 Deportivo Armenio 38 17 9 12 42:38 60
9 Comunicaciones 38 14 13 11 39:34 55
10 Laferrere 38 13 12 13 46:50 51
11 San Martin Burzaco 38 12 14 12 39:41 50
12 Dock Sud 38 11 14 13 40:42 47
13 Villa San Carlos 39 11 14 14 37:43 47
14 Argentino de Merlo 38 11 11 16 33:39 44
15 Dep. Merlo 38 10 14 14 36:51 44
16 Argentino de Quilmes 38 9 16 13 30:37 43
17 CSD Liniers 38 10 13 15 31:39 43
18 Defensores Unidos 38 9 14 15 33:39 41
19 Brown Adrogue 38 8 15 15 24:37 39
20 Flandria 38 10 9 19 34:48 39
21 UAI Urquiza 38 5 20 13 21:35 35
22 Ituzaingo 38 1 12 25 25:62 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)