Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sportivo Italiano vs Excursionistas

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Republica de Italia Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Fantino L.
34'
Alaniz M.
39'
Maizarez I.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Sportivo Italiano and Excursionistas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excursionistas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Sportivo Italiano
11%
Draws
80%
Excursionistas
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Excursionistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Sportivo Italiano have managed 0.88 goals a game lately — Excursionistas are scoring more at 1.88.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Excursionistas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sportivo Italiano Clean Sheet 16%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Italiano Excursionistas
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs Excursionistas
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs Excursionistas
2:1
Mar 15, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano
2:0
Jul 10, 2024 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano
1:1
Feb 20, 2024 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs Excursionistas
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Italiano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Excursionistas Compare

Top Goalscorer Polvera M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Italiano 11 / 100
Excursionistas 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Italiano Excursionistas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EXC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Italiano found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Excursionistas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Sportivo Italiano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Italiano VS Excursionistas
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal Sarandi24138336:1847
2Villa Dalmine24137430:1446
3Talleres Remedios Escalada24137427:1146
4Excursionistas24136535:1745
5Deportivo Camioneros24118528:1741
6Sportivo Italiano24108624:2038
7Real Pilar24107727:2537
8Argentino de Merlo2497824:2134
9Comunicaciones2497828:2634
10Deportivo Armenio2496926:2833
11San Martin Burzaco24711623:2032
12Laferrere2488826:3032
13Dep. Merlo2488827:3532
14Dock Sud2469925:2427
15Argentino de Quilmes2469924:2827
16CSD Liniers24681016:2426
17Defensores Unidos24591020:2724
18Brown Adrogue24591016:2724
19UAI Urquiza24314712:2023
20Flandria24651319:3123
21Villa San Carlos244101024:3022
22Ituzaingo24171617:4110