Sport Picks
Sportivo Italiano vs Real Pilar
Argentina
Primera B Republica de Italia Stadium, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
11'
11'
Gelos V.
16'
16'
Sub
Centurion F. In: Gimenez K.
Out: Centurion F.
20'
20'
Rodriguez E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sportivo Italiano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sportivo Italiano have won more games recently than Real Pilar.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Sportivo Italiano taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sportivo Italiano Clean Sheet 68%
Real Pilar Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Italiano | Real Pilar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2026 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs Real Pilar
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 Primera B
Real Pilar vs Sportivo Italiano
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Primera B
Real Pilar vs Sportivo Italiano
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs Real Pilar
2:2
Aug 5, 2023 Primera C
Real Pilar vs Sportivo Italiano
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportivo Italiano Compare
Top Goalscorer Durante P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Real Pilar Compare
Top Goalscorer Leguiza D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Italiano 95 / 100
Real Pilar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Italiano Real Pilar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sportivo Italiano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Italiano found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Real Pilar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Sportivo Italiano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Italiano VS Real Pilar
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Italiano
(Home) 26 Sept
Laferrere
1 : 2 Sportivo Italiano
19 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
0 : 0 Brown Adrogue
12 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0 Sportivo Italiano
05 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
3 : 1 Flandria
29 Aug
Argentino de Quilmes
0 : 2 Sportivo Italiano
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
0 : 0 Brown Adrogue
05 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
3 : 1 Flandria
25 Aug
Sportivo Italiano
0 : 2 Defensores Unidos
15 Aug
Sportivo Italiano
4 : 0 Dock Sud
01 Aug
Sportivo Italiano
1 : 1 Deportivo Camioneros
Page 1 of 3
Real Pilar
(Away) 25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
19 Sept
Real Pilar
2 : 1 Arsenal Sarandi
11 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1 Real Pilar
05 Sept
Real Pilar
0 : 2 Talleres Remedios Escalada
29 Aug
Laferrere
1 : 1 Real Pilar
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
11 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1 Real Pilar
29 Aug
Laferrere
1 : 1 Real Pilar
22 Aug
Deportivo Armenio
0 : 1 Real Pilar
08 Aug
Argentino de Quilmes
0 : 0 Real Pilar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 59:29 | 74 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 50:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 40:21 | 67 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 37 | 17 | 13 | 7 | 38:21 | 64 |
| 5 | Deportivo Camioneros | 37 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 42:27 | 63 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 37 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 43:28 | 62 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 40:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 39:38 | 57 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 37 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 38:33 | 54 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 44:49 | 48 |
| 11 | Dock Sud | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 12 | San Martin Burzaco | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 37:40 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 36:39 | 44 |
| 14 | Argentino de Merlo | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 32:37 | 44 |
| 15 | Dep. Merlo | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 36:51 | 43 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 29:36 | 42 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 32:38 | 40 |
| 18 | CSD Liniers | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 30:39 | 40 |
| 19 | Brown Adrogue | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 24:37 | 38 |
| 20 | Flandria | 37 | 10 | 8 | 19 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 37 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 18:33 | 32 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 37 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 23:59 | 15 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
