Sport Picks
Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción 
Match Events
6'
6'
Vegetti P.
Assist: Aliseda I.
25'
25'
Morinigo A.
46'
46'
Sub
Benitez A. G. In: Riveros B.
Out: Benitez A. G.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sportivo Trinidense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sportivo Trinidense haven't matched Cerro Porteno's recent run of results.
- Sportivo Trinidense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Cerro Porteno arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sportivo Trinidense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 68%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Trinidense | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno
2:1
Jul 24, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:2
May 15, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportivo Trinidense Compare
Top Goalscorer Morinigo A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Da Silveira A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Cerro Porteno Compare
Top Goalscorer Vegetti P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Trinidense 59 / 100
Cerro Porteno 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Trinidense Cerro Porteno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sportivo Trinidense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Trinidense found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Sportivo Trinidense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Cerro Porteno conceded in 59% of 34 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Trinidense VS Cerro Porteno
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Trinidense
(Home) 10 Oct
San Lorenzo
1 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
06 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
29 Aug
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 2 de Mayo
Page 1 of 3
Cerro Porteno
(Away) 10 Oct
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 3 Cerro Porteno
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2 2 de Mayo
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 3 Cerro Porteno
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
03 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Cerro Porteno
27 Aug
Resistencia
0 : 1 Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5:23 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
