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Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia Asuncion

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Romero F.
Assist: Gonzalez C.
20'
Canete A.
45'
Alcaraz A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Sportivo Trinidense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sportivo Trinidense
28%
Draws
22%
Olimpia Asuncion
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sportivo Trinidense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Olimpia Asuncion come out ahead of Sportivo Trinidense on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sportivo Trinidense a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Olimpia Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sportivo Trinidense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 68%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Trinidense Olimpia Asuncion
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 9 19
Draws 12 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.29 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia Asuncion
2:1
Mar 5, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia Asuncion
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
3:2
Sep 19, 2025 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:1
Jul 13, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia Asuncion
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Trinidense Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morinigo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Olimpia Asuncion Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Trinidense 59 / 100
Olimpia Asuncion 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Trinidense Olimpia Asuncion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Sportivo Trinidense's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Sportivo Trinidense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Olimpia Asuncion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Trinidense VS Olimpia Asuncion
1.29 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
71% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportivo Trinidense

(Home)
24 Jul
Cerro Porteno
1 : 2
Sportivo Trinidense
24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2
Sportivo Trinidense
15 May
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 1
Cerro Porteno
09 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1
Sportivo Trinidense
01 May
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2
2 de Mayo
Page 1 of 6

Olimpia Asuncion

(Away)
26 Jul
Olimpia Asuncion
0 : 1
Libertad Asuncion
17 Jul
Flamengo RJ
4 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
27 May
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 1
A. Italiano
23 May
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
20 May
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 1
Vasco
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)