Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sportlust vs Blauw Geel

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
van de Nieuwenhof B.
16' Event
Lemrini A.
68' Event
Zoufri N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sportlust
20%
Draws
38%
Blauw Geel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sportlust

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Blauw Geel haven't matched Sportlust's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Sportlust have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sportlust, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sportlust have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sportlust Clean Sheet 16%
Blauw Geel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportlust Blauw Geel
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 KNVB Beker
Sportlust vs Blauw Geel
3:1
Feb 3, 2024 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs Blauw Geel
2:1
Sep 9, 2023 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs Sportlust
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportlust Compare

Top Goalscorer Zoufri N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lemrini A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Blauw Geel Compare

Top Goalscorer van de Nieuwenhof B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportlust 36 / 100
Blauw Geel 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportlust Blauw Geel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blauw Geel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blauw Geel has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Sportlust's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sportlust stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sportlust VS Blauw Geel
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportlust

(Home)
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3
Excelsior 31
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2
Sportlust
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0
VV DOVO
12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4
Sportlust
Page 1 of 6

Blauw Geel

(Away)
04 Oct
Blauw Geel
1 : 1
UNA
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0
Blauw Geel
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1
Dongen
12 Sept
Roosendaal
1 : 3
Blauw Geel
06 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 2
GOES
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
ACV Assen 6
Westlandia 1
VV Hoogeveen 3
SVZW Wierden 2
Groene Ster 2
VV Heerjansdam 1
Be Quick 1887 0
AFC 2
Hardenberg -
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Barendrecht -
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Harkemase Boys 0
Excelsior 31 1
Alkmaarse FC 1934 4
VV Scherpenzeel 1
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Sportlust 3
Blauw Geel 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk 1
Excelsior Maassluis 2
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GVVV -
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ATC 65 1
DVS '33 Ermelo 2
GOES 0
VV Noordwijk 1
HZVV Hoogeveen 0
Frisia 4
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Sparta Nijkerk 2
Venray 0
Rkvv Spartaan 20 0
RKSV UDI 19 5
Dongen 2
Watergraafsmeer 4
TEC 4
Almkerk 2
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NAC Breda -
Longa '30 0
Koninklijke HFC 4
Surhusterfean 1
VV DOVO 2
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G.A. Eagles -
Mierlo-Hout 2
Germania Groesbeek 3
TBD -
Kozakken Boys -
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Utrecht -
Maastricht -
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Excelsior -
Zwolle -
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TOP Oss -
Quick Boys -
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Elinkwijk 0
Eemdijk 3
GSV 28 0
Roosendaal 4
Rijnsburgse Boys -
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Den Bosch -
RKAV Volendam -
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Spakenburg -
TOGB 3
Katwijk 2
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Rohda Raalte -
Roda -
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De Graafschap -
Staphorst 3
UNA 2
Genemuiden 2
Lisse 1
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Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
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Sittard -
Telstar -
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Almere City -
Lierop 0
VV Zwaluwen 7
Purmersteijn 4
RKVV Zwaluw 3
IJsselmeervogels -
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FC 's-Gravenzande 0
Gemert 2
NSVV 2
VV Kloetinge 4
Achilles Veen 4
SV Poortugaal 2
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Cambuur -
Venlo -
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Vitesse -
Rijnvogels 5
VV Bennekom 0
VVSB 2
Ajax (Am) 0
USV Hercules 1
EVV 3
HVV Hollandia 2
RKSV Halsteren 3
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1/64-finals
ACV Assen 2
VV Hoogeveen 1
Groene Ster 1
AFC 6
Hardenberg 0
Barendrecht 1
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Excelsior 31 4
Alkmaarse FC 1934 3
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Sportlust 0
Excelsior Maassluis 2
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GVVV 4
DVS '33 Ermelo 0
VV Noordwijk 1
Frisia 0
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Sparta Nijkerk 3
RKSV UDI 19 1
Watergraafsmeer 5
TEC 4
TBD -
NAC Breda -
Koninklijke HFC 3
VV DOVO 1
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Germania Groesbeek 1
Kozakken Boys 5
TBD -
Utrecht -
Maastricht -
TBD -
TBD -
Excelsior -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
Eemdijk 2
Roosendaal 1
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
RKAV Volendam 3
Spakenburg 2
TOGB 4
Rohda Raalte 6
Roda -
TBD -
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De Graafschap -
Staphorst 2
Genemuiden 3
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
Telstar -
TBD -
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Almere City -
VV Zwaluwen 0
Purmersteijn 1
IJsselmeervogels 0
Gemert 3
VV Kloetinge 8
Achilles Veen 0
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Cambuur -
Venlo -
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Vitesse -
Rijnvogels 0
VVSB 1
EVV 3
RKSV Halsteren 1
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1/32-finals
ACV Assen -
AFC -
Barendrecht -
Waalwijk -
De Treffers -
Heracles -
Excelsior 31 -
Den Haag -
Excelsior Maassluis -
Heerenveen -
Eindhoven FC -
FC Volendam -
Groningen -
FC Emmen -
GVVV -
VV Noordwijk -
Helmond Sport -
Willem II -
HSV Hoek -
Sparta Nijkerk -
Watergraafsmeer -
NAC Breda -
Koninklijke HFC -
G.A. Eagles -
Kozakken Boys -
Utrecht -
Maastricht -
Excelsior -
Zwolle -
TOP Oss -
Quick Boys -
Eemdijk -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
Den Bosch -
RKAV Volendam -
Rohda Raalte -
Roda -
De Graafschap -
Genemuiden -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
Sittard -
Telstar -
Almere City -
Purmersteijn -
Gemert -
VV Kloetinge -
Cambuur -
Venlo -
Vitesse -
VVSB -
EVV -
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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