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Stadium Background

Sportlust vs Excelsior Maassluis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
55' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Sportlust
15%
Draws
53%
Excelsior Maassluis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior Maassluis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Excelsior Maassluis have won more games recently than Sportlust.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior Maassluis taking it.
  • Excelsior Maassluis arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Excelsior Maassluis, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Excelsior Maassluis have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sportlust Clean Sheet 14%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportlust Excelsior Maassluis
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 KNVB Beker
Sportlust vs Excelsior Maassluis
0:2
Aug 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Sportlust vs Excelsior Maassluis
0:1
Aug 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Excelsior Maassluis vs Sportlust
2:0
Aug 3, 2021 Club Friendly
Sportlust vs Excelsior Maassluis
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportlust 10 / 100
Excelsior Maassluis 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportlust Excelsior Maassluis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Maassluis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportlust scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Excelsior Maassluis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Sportlust has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sportlust VS Excelsior Maassluis
2 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportlust

(Home)
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3
Excelsior 31
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2
Sportlust
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0
VV DOVO
12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4
Sportlust
Page 1 of 6

Excelsior Maassluis

(Away)
03 Oct
VVSB
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0
Blauw Geel
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0
Roosendaal
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
ACV Assen 6
Westlandia 1
VV Hoogeveen 3
SVZW Wierden 2
Groene Ster 2
VV Heerjansdam 1
Be Quick 1887 0
AFC 2
Hardenberg -
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Barendrecht -
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Harkemase Boys 0
Excelsior 31 1
Alkmaarse FC 1934 4
VV Scherpenzeel 1
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Sportlust 3
Blauw Geel 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk 1
Excelsior Maassluis 2
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GVVV -
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ATC 65 1
DVS '33 Ermelo 2
GOES 0
VV Noordwijk 1
HZVV Hoogeveen 0
Frisia 4
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Sparta Nijkerk 2
Venray 0
Rkvv Spartaan 20 0
RKSV UDI 19 5
Dongen 2
Watergraafsmeer 4
TEC 4
Almkerk 2
TBD -
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NAC Breda -
Longa '30 0
Koninklijke HFC 4
Surhusterfean 1
VV DOVO 2
TBD -
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G.A. Eagles -
Mierlo-Hout 2
Germania Groesbeek 3
TBD -
Kozakken Boys -
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Utrecht -
Maastricht -
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Excelsior -
Zwolle -
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TOP Oss -
Quick Boys -
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Elinkwijk 0
Eemdijk 3
GSV 28 0
Roosendaal 4
Rijnsburgse Boys -
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Den Bosch -
RKAV Volendam -
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Spakenburg -
TOGB 3
Katwijk 2
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Rohda Raalte -
Roda -
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De Graafschap -
Staphorst 3
UNA 2
Genemuiden 2
Lisse 1
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Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
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Sittard -
Telstar -
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Almere City -
Lierop 0
VV Zwaluwen 7
Purmersteijn 4
RKVV Zwaluw 3
IJsselmeervogels -
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FC 's-Gravenzande 0
Gemert 2
NSVV 2
VV Kloetinge 4
Achilles Veen 4
SV Poortugaal 2
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Cambuur -
Venlo -
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Vitesse -
Rijnvogels 5
VV Bennekom 0
VVSB 2
Ajax (Am) 0
USV Hercules 1
EVV 3
HVV Hollandia 2
RKSV Halsteren 3
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1/64-finals
ACV Assen 2
VV Hoogeveen 1
Groene Ster 1
AFC 6
Hardenberg 0
Barendrecht 1
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Excelsior 31 4
Alkmaarse FC 1934 3
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Sportlust 0
Excelsior Maassluis 2
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GVVV 4
DVS '33 Ermelo 0
VV Noordwijk 1
Frisia 0
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Sparta Nijkerk 3
RKSV UDI 19 1
Watergraafsmeer 5
TEC 4
TBD -
NAC Breda -
Koninklijke HFC 3
VV DOVO 1
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Germania Groesbeek 1
Kozakken Boys 5
TBD -
Utrecht -
Maastricht -
TBD -
TBD -
Excelsior -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
Eemdijk 2
Roosendaal 1
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
RKAV Volendam 3
Spakenburg 2
TOGB 4
Rohda Raalte 6
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
Staphorst 2
Genemuiden 3
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
Telstar -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
VV Zwaluwen 0
Purmersteijn 1
IJsselmeervogels 0
Gemert 3
VV Kloetinge 8
Achilles Veen 0
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Cambuur -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
Rijnvogels 0
VVSB 1
EVV 3
RKSV Halsteren 1
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1/32-finals
ACV Assen -
AFC -
Barendrecht -
Waalwijk -
De Treffers -
Heracles -
Excelsior 31 -
Den Haag -
Excelsior Maassluis -
Heerenveen -
Eindhoven FC -
FC Volendam -
Groningen -
FC Emmen -
GVVV -
VV Noordwijk -
Helmond Sport -
Willem II -
HSV Hoek -
Sparta Nijkerk -
Watergraafsmeer -
NAC Breda -
Koninklijke HFC -
G.A. Eagles -
Kozakken Boys -
Utrecht -
Maastricht -
Excelsior -
Zwolle -
TOP Oss -
Quick Boys -
Eemdijk -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
Den Bosch -
RKAV Volendam -
Rohda Raalte -
Roda -
De Graafschap -
Genemuiden -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
Sittard -
Telstar -
Almere City -
Purmersteijn -
Gemert -
VV Kloetinge -
Cambuur -
Venlo -
Vitesse -
VVSB -
EVV -
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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