Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Zoufri N.
16'
16'
Meiring W.
39'
39'
Zoufri N.
AI Match Summary
Sportlust in this Derde Divisie 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportlust.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sportlust
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sportlust have won more games recently than HBC.
- Model gives Sportlust a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sportlust Clean Sheet 13%
HBC Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportlust | HBC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 1 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs HBC
5:0
Sep 21, 2024 Derde Divisie
HBC vs Sportlust
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportlust Compare
Top Goalscorer Zoufri N.
3 Goals Assists Leader Meiring W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
HBC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportlust 84 / 100
HBC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportlust HBC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sportlust Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
HBC let in goals in 100% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Sportlust scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.
Sportlust went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sportlust VS HBC
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportlust
(Home) 22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0 VV DOVO
12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4 Sportlust
05 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 2 VV Hoogeveen
01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1 Blauw Geel
Page 1 of 7
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0 VV DOVO
05 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 2 VV Hoogeveen
01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1 Blauw Geel
22 Aug
Sportlust
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 4
HBC
(Away) 07 Jun
HVV Hollandia
2 : 0 HBC
03 Jun
HBC
0 : 1 HVV Hollandia
30 May
Flevo Boys
1 : 1 HBC
27 May
HBC
3 : 1 Flevo Boys
24 May
HBC
0 : 2 Huizen
Page 1 of 7
07 Jun
HVV Hollandia
2 : 0 HBC
30 May
Flevo Boys
1 : 1 HBC
17 May
USV Hercules
2 : 0 HBC
03 May
Eemdijk
2 : 2 HBC
12 Apr
Ajax (Am)
1 : 0 HBC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:35 | 82 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 74:46 | 70 |
| 3 | Sportlust | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 78:37 | 67 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:52 | 65 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 68:50 | 58 |
| 6 | USV Hercules | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 65:56 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Genemuiden | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Urk | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 56:67 | 47 |
| 10 | Eemdijk | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 64:66 | 43 |
| 11 | TEC | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:56 | 42 |
| 12 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 63:68 | 40 |
| 13 | HSC '21 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 50:66 | 40 |
| 14 | Huizen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44:62 | 36 |
| 15 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 46:71 | 36 |
| 16 | Ajax (Am) | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 48:64 | 35 |
| 17 | DEM | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 43:85 | 30 |
| 18 | HBC | 34 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40:92 | 10 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 77:33 | 70 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:29 | 64 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 73:45 | 64 |
| 4 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:50 | 58 |
| 6 | Lisse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55:41 | 54 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:48 | 53 |
| 8 | VVSB | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:61 | 51 |
| 9 | SteDoCo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:46 | 48 |
| 10 | Meerssen | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 11 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 63:72 | 45 |
| 12 | ASWH | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 59:73 | 42 |
| 13 | TOGB | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55:53 | 41 |
| 14 | GOES | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 53:65 | 39 |
| 15 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:58 | 39 |
| 16 | FC 's-Gravenzande | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 51:69 | 34 |
| 17 | Smitshoek | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 53:94 | 25 |
| 18 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 42:105 | 19 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
