Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Sportlust in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportlust.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
35%
18%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sportlust
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sportlust lately — more wins on the board than HSC '21.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Sportlust taking it.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Sportlust here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sportlust Clean Sheet 12%
HSC '21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportlust | HSC '21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 2 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 3.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.27 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs HSC '21
5:1
Oct 11, 2025 Derde Divisie
HSC '21 vs Sportlust
0:4
May 3, 2025 Derde Divisie
HSC '21 vs Sportlust
0:2
Nov 23, 2024 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs HSC '21
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportlust 83 / 100
HSC '21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportlust HSC '21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sportlust Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
HSC '21 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.25 goals.
Attacking prowess: Sportlust scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Sportlust has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sportlust VS HSC '21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.57
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.29
100% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 71%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportlust
(Home) 01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1 Blauw Geel
29 Aug
TEC
1 : 2 Sportlust
22 Aug
Sportlust
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
15 Aug
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 3 Sportlust
23 May
Harkemase Boys
4 : 1 Sportlust
Page 1 of 6
01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1 Blauw Geel
22 Aug
Sportlust
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
16 May
Sportlust
0 : 2 Sparta Nijkerk
09 May
Sportlust
0 : 2 USV Hercules
18 Apr
Sportlust
1 : 2 Rohda Raalte
Page 1 of 4
HSC '21
(Away) 23 May
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 4 HSC '21
16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1 Urk
09 May
Staphorst
4 : 0 HSC '21
26 Apr
HSC '21
3 : 4 TEC
18 Apr
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0 HSC '21
Page 1 of 6
23 May
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 4 HSC '21
09 May
Staphorst
4 : 0 HSC '21
18 Apr
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0 HSC '21
29 Mar
Rohda Raalte
3 : 2 HSC '21
14 Mar
Sportlust
5 : 1 HSC '21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
