Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between Sportlust and VV DOVO finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sportlust.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sportlust
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and VV DOVO come out ahead of Sportlust on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Sportlust's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sportlust Clean Sheet 12%
VV DOVO Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportlust | VV DOVO |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs VV DOVO
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV DOVO vs Sportlust
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs VV DOVO
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs VV DOVO
3:1
Oct 5, 2024 Derde Divisie
VV DOVO vs Sportlust
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportlust 65 / 100
VV DOVO 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportlust VV DOVO
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sportlust Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
VV DOVO let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.
Sportlust went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Sportlust's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
Sportlust VS VV DOVO
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportlust
(Home) 12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4 Sportlust
05 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 2 VV Hoogeveen
01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1 Blauw Geel
29 Aug
TEC
1 : 2 Sportlust
22 Aug
Sportlust
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 2 VV Hoogeveen
01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1 Blauw Geel
22 Aug
Sportlust
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
16 May
Sportlust
0 : 2 Sparta Nijkerk
09 May
Sportlust
0 : 2 USV Hercules
Page 1 of 3
VV DOVO
(Away) 12 Sept
VV DOVO
1 : 4 VV Hoogeveen
05 Sept
Purmersteijn
1 : 2 VV DOVO
02 Sept
Surhusterfean
1 : 2 VV DOVO
29 Aug
VV DOVO
2 : 3 VV Scherpenzeel
22 Aug
SVZW Wierden
1 : 1 VV DOVO
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Purmersteijn
1 : 2 VV DOVO
02 Sept
Surhusterfean
1 : 2 VV DOVO
22 Aug
SVZW Wierden
1 : 1 VV DOVO
01 Aug
Eemdijk
1 : 3 VV DOVO
16 May
Genemuiden
2 : 6 VV DOVO
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Genemuiden | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:3 | 15 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Harkemase Boys | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 4 | VV Scherpenzeel | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 5 | Excelsior 31 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 10 |
| 6 | Sportlust | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:9 | 9 |
| 7 | Purmersteijn | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 8 | TEC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:12 | 7 |
| 9 | VV Hoogeveen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 7 |
| 10 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 11 | Sparta Nijkerk | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13:14 | 5 |
| 12 | VV DOVO | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | 5 |
| 13 | Staphorst | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 14 | Eemdijk | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 15 | USV Hercules | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 3 |
| 16 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 2 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8:18 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lisse | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:0 | 13 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 11 |
| 4 | RKSV UDI 19 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 5 | SV Poortugaal | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Dongen | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 7 | Excelsior Maassluis | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 8 | GOES | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 9 | Roosendaal | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 10 | Gemert | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 11 | UNA | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Blauw Geel | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Groene Ster | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:12 | 5 |
| 14 | VVSB | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 15 | VV Zwaluwen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Achilles Veen | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 3 |
| 17 | TOGB | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 2 |
| 18 | EVV | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6:15 | 0 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
